1988
DOI: 10.1080/02723646.1988.10642345
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Synoptic Events and Spring Phenology

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Cited by 32 publications
(22 citation statements)
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“…Learning from the successful experience that scaling from the local to the large regional level using phenological models for reconstructing past plant phenology or predicting future phenology [24][25][26][27], we fit the model using spatiotemporal mixed samples at multiple sites of China to establish a uniform model. However, using such method over the entire range of a species distribution area requires that model estimates are valid across this range, i.e., there is no significant genetic variation of phenology between the different populations.…”
Section: Parameter Estimationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Learning from the successful experience that scaling from the local to the large regional level using phenological models for reconstructing past plant phenology or predicting future phenology [24][25][26][27], we fit the model using spatiotemporal mixed samples at multiple sites of China to establish a uniform model. However, using such method over the entire range of a species distribution area requires that model estimates are valid across this range, i.e., there is no significant genetic variation of phenology between the different populations.…”
Section: Parameter Estimationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…SI-x models are an extension of the original Spring Indices (SI-o) [38], which include three sub-models built respectively on phenologies of clone lilac Syringa chinensis "Red Rothomagensis", clone honeysuckle Lonicera tatarica "Arnold Red", and clone honeysuckle L. korolkowii "Zabeli". SI-o models predict both first leaf and first bloom using a multi-step regression driven by growing degree hours during specific time windows and high-energy synoptic events after the date of chilling satisfaction [39]. The SI-x models were developed with the same methods as SI-o with the exception that chilling is not calculated, and instead, the starting date of thermal accumulation (leading to first leaf) is always set as 1 January for all stations/years [40].…”
Section: Modeled Phenology Based On Cloned Plantsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…GLOBE is also pursuing a lilac budburst protocol as an expansion of a measurement network originally maintained by the U.S. Department of Agriculture [Schwartz and Marotz, 1988].In the lilac protocol,schools make a minimum 5-year commitment to planting, maintaining, and monitoring cloned individuals of Red Rothomagensis (a lilac sh ru b, Syringa chinensis).…”
Section: Data From Elsewherementioning
confidence: 99%