Technology, Sustainability, and Marketing of Battery Electric and Hydrogen Fuel Cell Medium-Duty and Heavy-Duty Trucks and Buses in 2020-2040

Burke, Andrew; Sinha, Anish

doi:10.7922/g2h993fj

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…However, the notion of TCO is well-established in the scientific literature and widely employed in the acquisition process of transportation vehicles comparing different propulsion technologies [17,18]. Burke [19], for example, conducted a TCO analysis on diesel, electric, and fuel cell electric trucks and concluded that full electric trucks equipped with large batteries cannot be cost-competitive with diesel trucks until the battery pack price drops to $100/kWh for long haulers. Similarly, other researchers [20,21] report that, to outperform diesel trucks, the costs of BEV long haulers with a mileage exceeding 100,000 miles per year (about 170,000 km/year), should decrease by 12%, while, by the end of the decade, new technologies will allow green vehicles to equate the costs of traditional vehicles.…”

Section: Transportation Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Such parameters have been evaluated for both greenhouse gases (CO 2 , NO 2 , CH 4 ) and local air pollutants (NOx, SOx, PM). For electric vehicles, the electric energy produced is the combination of different pathways that reflect a European mix of sources (named "EU-mix") considering a forecasted 2030 value where renewables will be almost a quarter of the EU-mix of 2010 [19]. For hydrogen-powered vehicles, only "green" hydrogen has been considered which is the total decarbonization option.…”

Section: Environmental Performancementioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework for Zero Emission Vehicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifecycle and Scenario Uncertainty

Aiello,

Quaranta,

Inguanta

et al. 2024

Energies

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In the last decade, with the increased concerns about the global environment, attempts have been made to promote the replacement of fossil fuels with sustainable sources. For transport, which accounts for around a quarter of total greenhouse gas emissions, meeting climate neutrality goals will require replacing existing fleets with electric or hydrogen-propelled vehicles. However, the lack of adequate decision support approach makes the introduction of new propulsion technologies in the transportation sector a complex strategic decision problem where distorted non-optimal decisions may easily result in long-term negative effects on the performance of logistic operators. This research addresses the problem of transport fleet renewal by proposing a multi-criteria decision-making approach and takes into account the multiple propulsion technologies currently available and the objectives of the EU Green Deal, as well as the inherent scenario uncertainty. The proposed approach, based on the TOPSIS model, involves a novel decision framework referred to as a generalized life cycle evaluation of the environmental and cost objectives, which is necessary when comparing green and traditional propulsion systems in a long-term perspective to avoid distorted decisions. Since the objective of the study is to provide a practical methodology to support strategic decisions, the framework proposed has been validated against a practical case referred to the strategic fleet renewal decision process. The results obtained demonstrate how the decision maker’s perception of the technological evolution of the propulsion technologies influences the decision process, thus leading to different optimal choices.

show abstract

Section: Transportation Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Environmental Performancementioning

confidence: 99%

A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework for Zero Emission Vehicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifecycle and Scenario Uncertainty

Aiello,

Quaranta,

Inguanta

et al. 2024

Energies

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Hydrogen-powered trucks can be an interesting alternative to diesel-powered trucks [1][2][3][4][5][6]. They have at least three important properties: (i) in their fuel-cell configuration they do not emit air pollutants but only water vapor, (ii) recharging times are very similar (slightly longer) to those of their diesel counterparts, and (iii) they can transport a load for distances of 1000 km, even on a single charge.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Economic Competitiveness of Hydrogen Fuel Cell-Powered Trucks: A Review of Total Cost of Ownership Estimates

Danielis,

Scorrano,

Masutti

et al. 2024

Energies

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This paper investigates the economic competitiveness of hydrogen-powered trucks. It reviews the growing number of papers that provide an estimate of the total cost of ownership (TCO) of hydrogen-powered trucks relative to their diesel equivalents. It examines the methodology applied, the variables considered, the data used for estimation, and the results obtained. All reviewed studies conclude that hydrogen-powered trucks are not currently cost-competitive, while they might become competitive after 2030. The conclusion holds across truck types and sizes, hydrogen pathways, mission profiles, and countries. However, we find that there is still a huge area of uncertainty regarding the purchase price of hydrogen-powered trucks and the cost of hydrogen, which hampers the reliability of the results obtained. Various areas of methodological improvements are suggested.

show abstract

A Multi Criteria Decision Making Framework For Zero Emission Vechicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifeycle And Scenario Uncertaintiy

Aiello,

Quaranta,

Inguanta

et al. 2024

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In the last decade, with the increased concerns about the global environmental situation, attempts have been made to promote the replacement of fossil fuels with sustainable sources. For transport, which accounts for around a quarter of total greenhouse gas emissions, meeting climate neutrality goals will require replacing existing fleets with electric or hydrogen propelled vehicles. This research addresses the problem of transport fleet renewal by proposing a multi-criteria decision-making approach, taking into account the multiple propulsion technologies currently available and the objectives of the EU Green Deal, as well as the uncertainty related to the technological scenario, in a generalized Life Cycle framework. The proposed approach, based on the TOPSIS model, demonstrates how the optimality of the choice is related to the different technological scenarios and to the risky attitude of the decision maker. The proposed methodology is finally validated against a practical case referred the strategic fleet renewal decision process, and the results obtained demonstrate how the decision maker’s perception about the technological evolution of the propulsion technologies influences the decision process, thus leading to different optimal choices.

show abstract

Technology, Sustainability, and Marketing of Battery Electric and Hydrogen Fuel Cell Medium-Duty and Heavy-Duty Trucks and Buses in 2020-2040

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework for Zero Emission Vehicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifecycle and Scenario Uncertainty

A Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework for Zero Emission Vehicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifecycle and Scenario Uncertainty

The Economic Competitiveness of Hydrogen Fuel Cell-Powered Trucks: A Review of Total Cost of Ownership Estimates

A Multi Criteria Decision Making Framework For Zero Emission Vechicle Fleet Renewal Considering Lifeycle And Scenario Uncertaintiy

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About