Temperature extremes, global warming, and armed conflict: new insights from high resolution data

Breckner, Miriam; Sunde, Uwe

doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104624

Cited by 61 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…Two types of pundits oppose fossil fuels for two entirely different reasons. First group opposes fossil fuels due to climate change, global warming and air pollution 71‐73 . Second group opposes fossil fuels due to oil peaking and fear of finite fossil fuels depletion over time in near future 74‐76 .…”

Section: Future Of Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…First group opposes fossil fuels due to climate change, global warming and air pollution. [71][72][73] Second group opposes fossil fuels due to oil peaking and fear of finite fossil fuels depletion over time in near future. [74][75][76] Peak oil theory failed after discovery of shale gas technologies and rampant rise of heat waves, arctic melting and hurricanes.…”

Section: Future Of Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Role of energy storage systems in energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables

et al. 2020

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We present the role of heat and electricity storage systems on the rapid rise of renewable energy resources and the steady fall of fossil fuels. The upsurge in renewable resources and slump in fossil fuel consumptions is attributed to sustainable energy systems, energy transition, climate change, and clean energy initiatives. The fast growth of renewables brings new design and operational challenges to transition towards 100% renewable energy goal. Energy storage systems can help ride‐through energy transition from hydrocarbon fuels to renewable sources. Nuclear fusion and artificial photosynthesis are the ultimate Holy Grails for permanent clean energy solutions. Plants harvest light and store it in chemical energy to regulate the food supply chain that may be a guideline for an energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables. Heat and electricity storage devices can account for the periodic nature of solar and wind energy sources. Solar thermal systems for water and space heating are also a viable solution for subzero temperature areas. This study presents the transition of world's energy prospect from fossil fuels to renewables and new advances in energy storage systems.

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Section: Future Of Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Future Of Fossil Fuelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of energy storage systems in energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables

et al. 2020

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“…Schleussner et al, 2016; von Uexkull et al, 2016; Ide et al, 2020), high agricultural dependence (e.g. Schilling et al, 2012; Salehyan & Hendrix, 2014; Bretthauer, 2015), and population dynamics (Breckner & Sunde, 2019). Even so, concerns about insufficient consideration of scope conditions, theoretically as well as empirically, continue to trouble scholars, and calls for further progress in modeling conditional relationships and accounting for actor- and location-specific vulnerability are equally prominent in literature reviews today.…”

Section: Seven Historical Priorities For Climate–conflict Research and Their Influence On The Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

“…), is inherently challenging, and empirical responses to this research priority to date are limited. However, a few recent studies provide examples of how multidecadal changes in climatic conditions might be systematically compared to shifting conflict trajectories (Burke, Hsiang & Miguel, 2015; Breckner & Sunde, 2019; van Weezel, 2020). Besides, the climate change research community has made important progress in developing methods to attribute singular events to anthropogenic climate change (Stott et al, 2016), which provides new opportunities for systematic impact attribution of armed conflicts in the future.…”

Section: Seven Historical Priorities For Climate–conflict Research and Their Influence On The Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

Uexküll

Buhaug

2021

Journal of Peace Research

142

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The study of security implications of climate change has developed rapidly from a nascent area of academic inquiry into an important and thriving research field that traverses epistemological and disciplinary boundaries. Here, we take stock of scientific progress by benchmarking the latest decade of empirical research against seven core research priorities collectively emphasized in 35 recent literature reviews. On the basis of this evaluation, we discuss key contributions of this special issue. Overall, we find that the research community has made important strides in specifying and evaluating plausible indirect causal pathways between climatic conditions and a wide set of conflict-related outcomes and the scope conditions that shape this relationship. Contributions to this special issue push the research frontier further along these lines. Jointly, they demonstrate significant climate impacts on social unrest in urban settings; they point to the complexity of the climate–migration–unrest link; they identify how agricultural production patterns shape conflict risk; they investigate understudied outcomes in relation to climate change, such as interstate claims and individual trust; and they discuss the relevance of this research for user groups across academia and beyond. We find that the long-term implications of gradual climate change and conflict potential of policy responses are important remaining research gaps that should guide future research.

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“…The most recent studies on the disaster-conflict nexus lean towards the positive relationship between the two events, but the relationship is nuanced and the nexus is conditioned by various factors including economic, political, social, and psychological factors (Breckner and Sunde, 2019;Ide et al, 2014;Koubi, 2019;Van Baalen and Mobjo¨rk, 2018;Van Weezel, 2019). These scholars do not deny that disasters tend to increase conflict but focus on the mechanisms through which this occurs, including heavy dependence on agriculture (Von Uexkull et al, 2016), decreased agricultural production (Crost et al, 2018), decreased food availability and the strategic choice of insurgents to preemptively seize civilian food (Bagozzi et al, 2017), migration (Brzoska and Fro¨hlich, 2016), political marginalization (Raleigh, 2010), food insecurity and the weak institutional and structural vulnerability of states (Jones et al, 2017), and the psychological tendency of disaster victims to avoid loss (Bell and Keys, 2016).…”

Section: Natural Disasters-civil Conflict Nexusmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental shocks, civil conflict and aid effectiveness

Kim

2021

Conflict Management and Peace Science

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Do natural disasters promote conflict or peace? A series of analyses of longitudinal data between 1971 and 2011 shows the modest but significant impact of natural disasters on the likelihood of conflict, conditional on the level of foreign aid in developing countries. This paper argues that frequent natural disasters, through the legitimacy effect and monitoring effect, allow foreign aid to be channeled to marginalized groups and used for its intended development purpose, eventually lowering the likelihood of conflict. This study is the first to incorporate an examination of foreign aid into an analysis of natural disasters and civil conflicts.

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Temperature extremes, global warming, and armed conflict: new insights from high resolution data

Cited by 61 publications

References 41 publications

Role of energy storage systems in energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables

Role of energy storage systems in energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables

Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress

Environmental shocks, civil conflict and aid effectiveness

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