“…Cold mortality is a problem in mid-latitudes (Keatinge et al, 2000;Nafstad et al, 2001;Mercer, 2003;Hassi, 2005) but is likely to decline with milder winters (Department of Health, 2002;Dessai, 2003). Major determinants of winter mortality include respiratory infections and poor quality housing (Aylin et al, 2001;Wilkinson et al, 2001Wilkinson et al, , 2004Mitchell et al, 2002;Izmerov et al, 2004;Díaz et al, 2005). Climate change is likely to increase the risk of mortality and injury from wind storms, flash floods and coastal flooding (Kirch et al, 2005).…”