“…Since the 2001 Census revealed these groups to have the youngest age structures and therefore growth potential, such an omission is regrettable. In 2011 a new census will be taken, which proposes an ethnic question with few changes from that used in the 2011 Census (Cabinet Office 2008; White and McLaren 2009). The projection results described in this report can be easily aggregated to the new 2011 classification.…”
Projections of the UK's ethnic populations from 2001 to 2051 show significant future change. Groups outside the White British majority will increase in size and share, not only in core areas but throughout the country. Ethnic minorities will shift out of deprived local authorities and into less deprived ones, while the White distribution remains stable. The share of the Mixed group population in the most deprived quintile (Q5) of local authorities reduces from 26 to 19%, while its share in the least deprived quintile (Q1) increases from 22 to 29%. The corresponding shifts for Asian groups are from 25 to 18% for Q5 and from 9 to 20% for the Q1. For Black groups the Q5 quintile sees a decrease from 54 to 39% while the Q1 sees an increase from 7 to 19%. There are shifts to local authorities with lower ethnic minority concentrations by Mixed, Asian and Black populations from local authorities with high ethnic concentrations, while the White, Chinese and Other group distributions remain in 2051 as they were in 2001. So, ethnic minority groups will be less segregated from the rest of the population in 2051 than in 2001. Indices of Dissimilarity between each group and the rest of the population fall by a third over the projection period. The UK in 2051 will be a more ethnically diverse society than in 2001.
“…Since the 2001 Census revealed these groups to have the youngest age structures and therefore growth potential, such an omission is regrettable. In 2011 a new census will be taken, which proposes an ethnic question with few changes from that used in the 2011 Census (Cabinet Office 2008; White and McLaren 2009). The projection results described in this report can be easily aggregated to the new 2011 classification.…”
Projections of the UK's ethnic populations from 2001 to 2051 show significant future change. Groups outside the White British majority will increase in size and share, not only in core areas but throughout the country. Ethnic minorities will shift out of deprived local authorities and into less deprived ones, while the White distribution remains stable. The share of the Mixed group population in the most deprived quintile (Q5) of local authorities reduces from 26 to 19%, while its share in the least deprived quintile (Q1) increases from 22 to 29%. The corresponding shifts for Asian groups are from 25 to 18% for Q5 and from 9 to 20% for the Q1. For Black groups the Q5 quintile sees a decrease from 54 to 39% while the Q1 sees an increase from 7 to 19%. There are shifts to local authorities with lower ethnic minority concentrations by Mixed, Asian and Black populations from local authorities with high ethnic concentrations, while the White, Chinese and Other group distributions remain in 2051 as they were in 2001. So, ethnic minority groups will be less segregated from the rest of the population in 2051 than in 2001. Indices of Dissimilarity between each group and the rest of the population fall by a third over the projection period. The UK in 2051 will be a more ethnically diverse society than in 2001.
“…It is, therefore, possible that in a complex and mobile population some people did not complete a Census questionnaire, and were also not identified in the Census Coverage Survey (CCS), as they did not fit what they considered to be the definition of a 'usual resident' 1 . Although the capture recapture model makes an estimate of people missed by both the Census and the CCS, it cannot include people who explicitly do not consider themselves to be usually resident 3 . They may not have defined themselves as a usual resident because they were living temporarily at an address which they did not consider to be their usual address but had no other address; or, although they had been, or intended to be, in the country for more than six months they did not consider themselves resident.…”
In an increasingly complex society there are a number of different population definitions that can be relevant for users, beyond the standard definition used in counting the population. This article describes the enumeration base for the 2011 Census and how alternative population outputs may be produced. It provides a background as to how the questions on the questionnaire were decided upon and how population bases can be constructed from the Census. Similarities and differences between the information collected across the three UK Censuses (England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland) are discussed. Finally, issues around estimating the population on alternative bases are presented.
“…The evolution of the set of standard questions is complex, and each census commissioner tends to draw upon the work of his or her predecessors in office, only making changes when clearly required, as ‘the decision about adding any new question to the census is a political one’ (Weller, 2004: 5). This should be amplified by the statement that ‘topics proposed for the census are those that have been shown to be most needed by the major users of census information and for which questions have been devised that can be expected to produce reliable and accurate data’ (White and McLaren, 2009: 9). Nevertheless, sometimes a new census enquiry can be undertaken for curiosity rather than for satisfying government imperatives.…”
Section: Questions Of Languagementioning
confidence: 99%
“…In tackling this issue, a decision was made to include both main language and English proficiency questions in the forthcoming census in the expectation that Responses will provide an indication of areas and communities where foreign language service provision is necessary, and to better understand the diversity of the population and, in particular, the impact of English (or Welsh) language ability on employment and other social inclusion indicators. (White and McLaren, 2009: 12)…”
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