The anomalous electoral advantage: Evidence from over 17,000 mayoral candidacies in Poland

Bartnicki, Sławomir; Alimowski, Maciej; Górecki, Maciej A.

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102109

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Such designs exploit a sub-sample of municipalities in which politicians barely lost and barely won, assuming they are similar in unobservable characteristics. In this way, RDDs help to estimate the influence of certain characteristics of narrow election winners and opponents, such as incumbency (Aragon and Pique, 2020;Lippmann, 2023;Lucardi et al, 2023;Meriläinen and Tukiainen, 2022), electoral corruption (Bartnicki et al, 2022;Dulay and Go, 2022), partisanship (Asher and Novosad, 2017), gender (Ferreira and Gyourko, 2014;Lippmann, 2023), age (Alesina et al, 2019), education and ethnicity (Burgess et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Inequality and Redistribution: Essays on Local Elections, Gender and Corruption in Developing Countries

Smid

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Persistent economic and political inequalities in developing countries have intensified public debates about the causes of inequality and the implementation of redistributive policies. While inequality and redistribution are outcomes of political processes and institutions, this thesis aims to address understudied aspects of political partisanship, gender, and corruption, and their impact on inequality and redistribution in Bolivia, Brazil, and Tanzania. This thesis provides a comprehensive perspective on inequality, encompassing income and wealth distribution (economic inequality) and the distribution of political power between genders (political inequality). The thesis uses a combination of novel (quasi-)experimental methods, survey data col-lection in Brazil and Tanzania, and innovative data collection in Bolivia using nighttime satellite data and election forensics. To enable causal inference, the thesis uses survey experiments, and a regression discontinuity design to provide insights into the political economy of these countries. The findings of this thesis offer several important contributions to the political economy literature. On the supply side, the findings reveal the impact of local government partisan-ship on poverty and economic inequalities. On the demand side, the findings offer insights into voter evaluations of local candidates involved in corruption, promoting pro-poor policies, with strong ties to firms, and their gender. By examining both the demand and supply sides of redistribution, the thesis provides a comprehensive understanding of the factors contributing to persistent economic and political inequalities. The insights from this thesis have significant implications for developing effective policy interventions. By analysing the complex relationship between voter support for political candidates, redistribution and affirmative action policies, this research contributes to a broader understanding of why high economic and political inequality and low redistribu-tion coexist in developing countries. The empirical evidence offers valuable insights for political economy research in developing countries, emphasising the relevance of local level granular data for addressing inequality and promoting sustainable development.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Inequality and Redistribution: Essays on Local Elections, Gender and Corruption in Developing Countries

Smid

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Corruption experience does not make voters harsher towards the corrupt incumbents – evidence from a survey experiment in Poland

Gendźwiłł

2024

East European Politics

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Mafia and Political Competition Redirecting Votes not Discouraging Candidates

Baraldi

2024

Economics & Politics

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The efforts of organized crime to affect the outcome of elections have been well documented. In the present paper, we exploit the staggered enforcement of Law 164/1991, an anticrime measure that mandates dissolution of the city council in the case of suspected mafia infiltration, to show that political competition in municipal elections in Italy, measured by the win margin between the two “strongest” candidates and the Herfindahl index, increases sharply in the first election following a compulsory administration in dissolved municipalities compared to the control group of municipalities that have never been subject to council dissolution. We find that this effect of the anti‐mafia policy remains slightly significant up to the third election after dissolution, after which time it disappears. The paper suggests that mafias manipulate electoral outcomes principally by affecting voter behaviour, rather than by discouraging unfriendly candidates. We investigate several channels that might be driving these results.

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The anomalous electoral advantage: Evidence from over 17,000 mayoral candidacies in Poland

Cited by 3 publications

References 33 publications

Inequality and Redistribution: Essays on Local Elections, Gender and Corruption in Developing Countries

Inequality and Redistribution: Essays on Local Elections, Gender and Corruption in Developing Countries

Corruption experience does not make voters harsher towards the corrupt incumbents – evidence from a survey experiment in Poland

Mafia and Political Competition Redirecting Votes not Discouraging Candidates

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