The Contribution of New Postindustrial Technological Modes to per Capita GRP of the Urals Federal District&amp;#96;s Regions of the Russian Federation

The updated econometric estimates of the influence of new technologies and human capital on the contribution of new technological structures to the per capita GDP in the regions of the Central and North-Western federal districts of Russia are obtained. The article estimates coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita by the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratio of work by new fixed assets and by the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratio of labor by new fixed assets it is reasonable to increase the investments into fixed assets of the region. In case of big sizes of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education it is reasonable to increase, first of all, a share of workers with the highest education.

Influence of New Technologies and Human Capital on theContribution of New Ways to Economy of Regions of Central Federal District

Басовский¹,

Basovskiy

Басовская³

et al. 2017

Changes in the Impact of New Technologies and Human Capital on the Contribution of New Ways to the Russian Economy During the Crisis Period

Левкина¹,

Levkina

Басовский³

et al. 2017

Estimates of coefficients of elasticity of the contribution of new ways to GDP per capita on the use of the new technologies estimated by capital-labor ratioof work by new fixed assets and on the use of the human capital estimated by a share of busy workers with the higher education during an economic crisis are received. The received results allow estimating the change of efficiency of use of new technologies and the human capital in the country and in regions of Central Federal District during the crisis. In the majority of regions, it corresponds with all-Russian tendencies. However, in several regions elasticity of the contribution of the human capital has not decreased. These are Kaluga, Kostroma, Yaroslavl regions. Elasticity of the contribution of the human capital to GRP provided with new technological ways the Voronezh, Ryazan, Tula regions has significantly increased. In the same regions elasticity of the contribution of new business assets has decreased less considerably, than on average on the Russian regions. Identification of the reasons of this phenomenon demands an additional research.

Forecasting the Transition of the Economy of the Russian Federation to the Dominance of the Fifth Techno-Economic Paradigm

Басовский¹,

Basovskiy

Аверина³

et al. 2017

The purpose of the work was to assess the timing of the transition of the Russian economy and the economy of individual Russian regions to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. By constructing econometric models of economic dynamics, the timing of the beginning of the dominance of the fifth technoeconomic paradigm was estimated. The transition to the domination of the fifth techno-economic paradigm in the economy of the country can expected in 2040. The economy of individual regions has already made the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm. In the economy of a large part of the regions, the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm can expected in many years and decades. Estimates of the expected timeframe for the transition to the dominance of the fifth techno-economic paradigm obtained on basis of the assumption that the trends of economic development prevailing in 2001–2015 were preserved.