The 2003 Council for Agricultural Science and Technology
Mycotoxin report states that one 21st century goal is
the development of uniform regulations worldwide for
foodborne mycotoxin contamination. This study informs
that endeavor by a risk assessment and economic analysis
of two important mycotoxins: fumonisins and aflatoxins.
The goals are to identify the nations that would be most
heavily impacted by tighter mycotoxin regulations, examine
costs and benefits as a function of regulatory stringency,
and address risk−risk tradeoffs between health benefits
and economic losses from compliance with those regulations.
Among industrial nations, the United States would
experience the heaviest economic losses from more
precautionary mycotoxin standards. Environmental conditions
in the developing world, however, are more conducive
to mycotoxin accumulation in crops. Contrary to concerns
expressed among policymakers, the less developed
countries that would likely experience the greatest loss
from tighter mycotoxin standards are not sub-Saharan African
nations, but China and Argentina. If a fumonisin standard
of 0.5 mg/kg were adopted worldwide, total export
losses from fumonisins in corn may exceed $300 million
annually: 3-fold higher than if the less stringent U.S. standard
of 2 mg/kg were adopted. Likewise, export losses from
aflatoxins in peanuts may exceed $450 million under the
current EU regulatory standard of 4 μg/kg: almost 5-fold
higher than if the U.S. standard of 20 μg/kg were adopted.
Stricter standards are unlikely to improve health significantly.
In developing nations such as China where hepatitis B
and C are prevalent, tighter aflatoxin standards may increase
health risks until improved control methods for aflatoxins
are found, as high-quality crops may be exported instead of
being consumed domestically.