The COVID-19 pandemic and insecurity: the furiousness in Nigerian communities

Akanmu, Ayobami Ademola; Salisu, Umar Obafemi; Daramola, Oluwole; Ogunsesan, Abimbola Simiat; Fasina, Simeon Oluwagbenga; Adejare, Jacob Ayorinde; Sanni, Sekinat Motunrayo; Olatunji, Oluwatobi Maria

doi:10.1080/21650020.2021.1946420

Cited by 16 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…India also witnessed a sharp drop in visible crimes such as theft, robbery, and dacoity (Som et al, 2020 ). In contrast, in Nigeria (Akanmu et al, 2021 ), a spike in theft and rape during the COVID-19 lockdown was attributed to catalytic agents such as idleness, poor governance, and poverty.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Empirical evidence of the impact of mobility on property crimes during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

Paramasivan

Subburaj

Jaiswal

et al. 2022

Humanit Soc Sci Commun

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This paper seeks to evaluate the impact of the removal of restrictions (partial and complete) imposed during COVID-19-induced lockdowns on property offences such as robbery, burglary, and theft during the milder wave one and the more severe wave two of the pandemic in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Using 10-year data of the daily counts of crimes, the authors adopt an auto-regressive neural networks method to make counterfactual predictions of crimes, representing a scenario without the pandemic-induced lockdowns. The difference between the actual and forecast is the causal impact of the lockdown in all phases. Further, the research uses Google Mobility Community Reports to measure mobility. The analysis has been done at two levels: first, for the state of Tamil Nadu, which has a sizeable rural landscape, and second for Chennai, the largest metropolitan city with an urban populace. During the pandemic-induced lockdown in wave one, there was a steep decline in the incidence of property offences. On removing restrictions, the cases soared above the counterfactual predicted counts. In wave two, despite the higher severity and fatality in the COVID-19 pandemic, a similar trend of fall and rise in property cases was observed. However, the drop in mobility was less substantial, and the increase in the magnitude of property offences was more significant in wave two than in wave one. The overall trend of fluctuations is related to mobility during various phases of restrictions in the pandemic. When most curbs were removed, there was a surge in robberies in Tamil Nadu and Chennai after adjusting for mobility. This trend highlights the effective increase in crime due to pandemic-related economic and social consequences. Further, the research enables law enforcement to strengthen preventive crime work in similar situations, when most curbs are removed after a pandemic or other unanticipated scenarios.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 96%

Empirical evidence of the impact of mobility on property crimes during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

Paramasivan

Subburaj

Jaiswal

et al. 2022

Humanit Soc Sci Commun

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“…These challenges discourage the use of essential healthcare services in rural areas. The challenges are now aggravated by widespread insecurity of lives and properties in the country [37,38] which has led to increasing non-availability of skilled health personnel in rural areas of the country. Some rural dwellers may thus be limited to contacting CHWs for antenatal, delivery, postnatal checks, family planning, and treatment of diverse ailments.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do health service contacts with community health workers influence the intention to use modern contraceptives among non-users in rural communities? Findings from a cross-sectional study in Nigeria

Solanke

Oyediran

Awoleye

et al. 2023

BMC Health Serv Res

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Background Studies in many developing countries have shown that community health workers (CHWs) are valuable for boosting contraceptive knowledge and usage. However, in spite of the evidence, studies in Nigeria have rarely examined whether in the absence of skilled health personnel such as doctors and nurses in rural and remote communities, the health service contacts of non-users with CHWs drive the intention to use modern contraceptives. This study, therefore, examines the extent to which health service contacts with CHWs are associated with the intention to use modern contraceptives among non-users in rural communities of Nigeria. Methods This study adopted a descriptive cross-sectional design. Data were extracted from the most recent Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS). The study analyzed a weighted sample of 12,140 rural women. The outcome variable was the intention to use modern contraceptives. The main explanatory variable was health service contacts with CHWs. Statistical analyses were performed at three levels with the aid of Stata version 14. Three multivariable regression models were estimated using an adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) with a 95% confidence interval. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results Findings showed that more than a quarter (29.0%) of women intends to use modern contraceptives. Less than one-fifth (15.9%) of the women had health service contacts with CHWs. In Model 1, women who had health service contacts with CHWs were more likely to intend to use modern contraceptives (aOR =1.430, 95% CI: 1.212–1.687). Likewise, in Model 2, women who had health service contacts with CHWs had a higher likelihood of intending to use modern contraceptives (aOR = 1.358, 95% CI: 1.153–1.599). In Model 3, the odds of intention to use modern contraceptives were higher among women who had health service contacts with CHWs (aOR =1.454, 95% CI: 1.240–1.706). Conclusion In rural areas of Nigeria, health service contacts with CHWs are significantly associated with the intention to use modern contraceptives. Family planning programmers should leverage the patronage of CHWs for the purpose of family planning demand generation in rural areas.

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“…At the same time, complications related to birth increased in some of these countries [32,33]. Political instability and insecurity aggravated as terrorists, bandits and rogues maximized the opportunity of the lacunae created in the security apparel of nations in sub-Sahara Africa to restrategize their modus operandi in perpetuating heinous activities [34][35][36][37][38]. For instance, the security agencies in Lagos, Nigeria, were overwhelmed with the reports of incessant attacks by criminals in this metropolitan state [39].…”

Section: Decision-making Process On Lockdownsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Concept of Deaths per Million in the Impact Assessment of COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020

Ohanube¹,

Uchejeso²

2023

Psychosocial, Educational, and Economic Impacts of COVID-19

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The pandemic of the Coronavirus disease 2019 has been quite devastating. Assessing the success of the public health measures put in place by different nations has become a herculean task, especially as there is no effective index to determine that. The existing public health indices such as the Case fatality ratio and Mortality rate have not proven efficient in ascertaining the progress made in the early implementation of some public health measures. Hence, the index Deaths Per Million, an estimated mortality rate, is considered an alternative tool to ascertain the progress made at the onset and peak of the pandemic. In this case study, we have compared these three indices to know which best fits the pandemic. We also elucidated when and how deaths per million can be efficiently utilized during a pandemic to know the most appropriate time to impose lockdowns and other public health measures. This is considering the tendency for lockdowns to affect the psycho-social skills of humans and adversely impact economic activities both locally and globally. This work further provided evidence why the index Deaths Per Million is preferred during a pandemic over case fatality ratio and mortality. This was done using statistics from various countries for one year. These countries were selected based on their population and their peculiar nature.

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The COVID-19 pandemic and insecurity: the furiousness in Nigerian communities

Cited by 16 publications

References 33 publications

Empirical evidence of the impact of mobility on property crimes during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

Empirical evidence of the impact of mobility on property crimes during the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic

Do health service contacts with community health workers influence the intention to use modern contraceptives among non-users in rural communities? Findings from a cross-sectional study in Nigeria

Analysis of the Concept of Deaths per Million in the Impact Assessment of COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020

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