The Decline of Third-Party Voting in the United States

Hirano, Shigeo; Snyder, James M.

doi:10.1111/j.1468-2508.2007.00490.x

Cited by 68 publications

(61 citation statements)

References 31 publications

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“…In the United States the vote shares of third parties (such as Greenbacks, Populists, Progressives, and Prohibitionists) were more than double their shares than now. More than five times as many third-party congressmen were elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1890 to 1920 than in 1940 to 1970 (Hirano and Snyder 2007). Comparative data on residential mobility are hard to find.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ideological externalities, social pressures, and political parties

Glazer

2009

Public Choice

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Members of political parties may influence each other. For example, a liberal in a party of moderates may moderate his views. At the same time, the moderates in the party may become more liberal. Voters in a district who favor such effects may care about the ideology of officeholders in other districts. They may therefore prefer a candidate who affiliates with a party over an independent with the same position.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ideological externalities, social pressures, and political parties

Glazer

2009

Public Choice

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“…Reference has been made to primary elections, uneven media coverage, difficulties in acquiring funding, special hurdles in the electoral process, etc. Shigeo Hirano and James Snyder (2007) have investigated the impact of such alleged obstacles. Mapping the relative share of the vote going to third parties between 1870 and 2000 in congressional and state elections, they find that an evident downturn began in the early 1930s-and from that decline, the fortunes of third parties have never recovered.…”

Section: Party Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

American Exceptionalism Revisited

Hadenius¹

2015

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“…To properly evaluate this conceptualization, the most important findings from the third‐party literature need to be discussed. From the classic work of Rosenstone, Behr, and Lazarus ([1984] 1996), it is well documented that third‐party voting is usually highest when there is a perception of failure or deterioration in the two major parties (see also Hirano and Snyder 2007; Mazmanian 1974), the third‐party candidate is viewed as an attractive alternative to the major‐party choices, and there is a group of voters with weak (or no) partisan ties that are willing to support the candidate. When there is a confluence of these factors, third‐party candidates do well.…”

Section: Third‐party Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Major parties react to this and incorporate the third party's priorities into their platforms. This happened with the Populists in the late 1800s, as Democrats adopted some of their policy positions to undercut their support (Hirano and Snyder 2007). This also occurred with Ross Perot's 1992 independent campaign and subsequent 1996 Reform Party candidacy.…”

Section: Third‐party Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

An Inside‐Outsider or an Outside‐Insider? The Republican Primary Campaign of Ron Paul from a Third‐Party Perspective

Chamberlain

2010

Politics & Policy

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The 2007/2008 Republican presidential primary run for Ron Paul was a relatively unique candidacy, as he was a former third‐party presidential candidate for the Libertarian Party in 1988. In this article, I argue that his recent run as a Republican needs to be studied as a third‐party movement within a major party. To do so, I conduct a state‐level analysis of support for Paul using a dependent variable measuring the number of online Paul donors. The results indicate that the strongest explanation for Paul support is a state's vote for Paul in 1988. This finding shows that a third‐party campaign can help a politician's national‐level career rather than serving merely as an outlet for popular discontent. It also shows that candidate‐centered support can carry over into a major‐party campaign, even if almost 20 years has elapsed and a candidate's third‐party vote percentage was quite low. La primaria presidencial republicana de 2007/2008 donde se postuló Ron Paul fue una candidatura relativamente única, ya que en 1988 él fue un candidato presidencial de un tercer partido conocido como Partido Liberal. En este articulo sostengo que su reciente postulación como Republicano necesita ser estudiada como un movimiento de un tercer partido dentro de un partido mayoritario. Para realizarlo, realizo un análisis a un nivel estatal del apoyo a Paul utilizando una variable dependiente que mide el número de los donadores de Paul en línea. Los resultados indican que la explicación más concluyente del actual apoyo a Paul es el voto estatal otorgado al candidato en 1988. Este hallazgo demuestra que una campaña de un tercer partido puede ayudar a la carrera de un político a nivel nacional más que simplemente servir como una salida del descontento popular. Así mismo, demuestra que el apoyo otorgado al candidato puede transferirse a una campaña de partido mayor, aun después de veinte años y a pesar de que el porcentaje de voto obtenido por ese candidato en ese entonces haya sido bajísimo.

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The Decline of Third-Party Voting in the United States

Cited by 68 publications

References 31 publications

Ideological externalities, social pressures, and political parties

Ideological externalities, social pressures, and political parties

American Exceptionalism Revisited

An Inside‐Outsider or an Outside‐Insider? The Republican Primary Campaign of Ron Paul from a Third‐Party Perspective

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