The determinants of a resilient food system for Finland in the 2020s—three opinion polls for improvements based on a Delphi study among food system experts

Abstract

Sudden shocks, disturbances, and changes in today’s and the future’s operating environment call for a more resilient food system. COVID-19 and Russia’s latest war in Ukraine have revealed that rapid shocks and disturbances in global social-ecological systems can affect societies and pose various risks to food security. The discussion of food security and especially food supply security under uncertain changes has therefore been highlighted. In this study, food system resilience and the driving forces and current trends affecting it were evaluated in an expert panel study. We used the Delphi technique for the data collection, which included several rounds of iterative evaluation of future food system development up to 2030. We analysed the results using cluster analysis. Based on the results, three clusters were identified which weigh different points within the development foci of food system resilience, namely: (1) the lack of efficient and consensual global crisis preparedness, (2) looking after domestic food production, and (3) trusting the current good efforts in resilience building. The key resilience determinants in each cluster and their importance analysis are presented. We also present enablers and barriers from techno-economic, politico-institutional, and socio-cognitive perspectives that hinder or support resilience building.

Options for making responsive future strategy to foster sustainability transitions in the German agri-food sector: a Delphi-based approach

“…Building on the RRI framework, this research aimed to contribute to sustainability transitions in the German agri-food sector by explicitly identifying potential future response options for research and innovation to address diverging innovation-driven future changes that have been collectively anticipated and reflected upon beforehand. This has contributed to existing agri-food transitions research by focusing on the German context [29,30,[61][62][63]. Additionally, the Delphi procedure constituting a third-Delphi round has added a specific focus to get the most out of future options that yield missed chances for sustainability or to mitigate harmful effects.…”

Public Perceptions of Alternative Protein Sources: Implications for Responsible Agrifood Transition Pathways

“…Agrifood systems face major challenges such as climate change, population growth and the reduction in arable land [1][2][3], and transformation has become necessary [2]. In particular, the importance of alternative protein sources is increasing to meet the growing protein demand [4,5] and reduce the ecological, social and health impacts of intensive livestock farming [6].…”