The Effect of Fuel Price on Demands for Road and Rail Travel: An Application to the French Case

Delsaut, Marianne

doi:10.1016/j.trpro.2014.07.018

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Unfortunately, it is not possible to compare the results of this study with the previous studies on road transport in Pakistan because of the lack of available empirical literature. However, many other international studies also report relatively low fuel price elasticities of road passenger transport ( 6 , 27 , 68 , 69 ). In general, although fuel price elasticities of road travel demand in developed countries (above cited) are low, they are relatively high compared with the fuel-price elasticity obtained by the present study.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…Among them, price and income are the two main determinants of road transport demand. Several studies have analyzed road passenger transport demand using fuel prices as a cost of travel (27)(28)(29)(30), and investigated the sensitivity of road transport demand to changes in fuel prices and other control variables. For example, Fujisaki et al (28) used time series (both annual and quarterly) data to analyze the effects of gasoline price and income on various types of land transport (PKM/capita) in Japan such as public transport (adding both rail and commercial bus transport), personal automobiles (sum of both registered noncommercial passenger cars and more than two-wheeler light cars) and surface transport (a total of personal automobiles and public transport).…”

Section: Studies Of Road Passenger Transport Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Analyzing Road Transport (Passenger and Freight) Demand in Pakistan with Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Co-Integration Approach

Khan

2020

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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Understanding the determinants of transport demand is crucial in making effective transport and environmental policies. In that context, the present study provides an empirical analysis of both road passenger and freight transport demand in Pakistan, using annual time series data from 1980 to 2016. The auto-regressive distributed lag bounds testing approach of co-integration is employed to estimate the short- and long-run elasticities. The empirical results show that fuel price, per-capita income, urbanization and road density are important determinants of road passenger transport demand in Pakistan. Similarly, fuel price, industrial production and international trade are the main drivers of road freight transport demand. In general, long-run elasticities are greater than short-run elasticities. Moreover, the long-run fuel price elasticities of passenger and freight transport demand are –0.044 and –0.784, respectively, implying that policy instruments (raising fuel taxes) are relatively less effective in controlling the future road transport demand and associated environment problems. The results based on short-run error correction models indicate that passenger transport demand adjusts about 75% in the first year to achieve its long-run equilibrium, while that of freight demand adjusts toward long-run equilibrium at a relatively slower rate, with about 16% of error correction taking place in the following year to reach long-run equilibrium.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 97%

Section: Studies Of Road Passenger Transport Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing Road Transport (Passenger and Freight) Demand in Pakistan with Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Co-Integration Approach

Khan

2020

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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“…Khoo et al (2012) reported a short-run fuel price elasticity of vehicle trips of -0.16 in Malaysia. Delsaut (2014) reported a short-run fuel price elasticity of VKT of -0.14 in France, with a long-run response of -0.28. A review of studies from developed countries by Goodwin et al (2004) found a mean fuel price elasticity of VKT of -0.1 in the short run and -0.3 in the long run.…”

Section: Relating the Results To Estimates For Other Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Dahl, 2012;Havranek et al, 2012;Burke and Nishitateno, 2013;Burke, 2014;Arzaghi and Squalli, 2015). Delsaut (2014) France -0.14 -0.28 Elasticity is for VKT Kwon and Lee (2014) South Korea -0.11 Elasticity is for number of vehicle trips Odeck and Johansen (2016) Norway -0.11 -0.24 Elasticity is for VKT Note: Studies are chronologically ordered. Listed papers are a sample of prior studies.…”

Section: Relating the Results To Estimates For Other Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Easing the traffic: The effects of Indonesia’s fuel subsidy reforms on toll-road travel

Burke

Batsuuri

Yudhistira

2017

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice

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Indonesia has serious traffic jams. This study uses data from 19 Indonesian toll roads over 2008-2015 to calculate the effects of Indonesia's historic recent fuel subsidy reforms on motor vehicle travel. The timing of the reforms was determined by budgetary and political factors, providing a suitable setting for estimating a causal effect. We control for a broad set of other factors potentially influencing traffic flows. Estimates using monthly data suggest an immediate fuel price elasticity of motor vehicle flows on the roads in our study of -0.1, increasing to -0.2 when responses over a year are considered. We estimate that Indonesia's fuel subsidy reforms of 2013 and 2014 had reduced traffic pressure on these roads in the second half of 2015 by around 10% relative to the counterfactual without reform. A move to an adequate fuel excise system could contribute to more free-flowing traffic, while generating revenue for infrastructure and other investment.

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“…O občutljivosti na ceno goriva priča dejstvo, da so hitri dvigi cen v preteklosti že botrovali nekaterim množičnim protestom (France24 2018). Tudi zato je bilo narejenih več obširnih analiz vpliva cene goriva na vožnjo z osebnimi avtomobili (Delsaut 2014;Alberini in dr. 2022). Vozniki na višje cene goriva praviloma reagirajo tako, da se vozijo manj, da so pri vožnji previdnejši in torej bolj ekonomični ali da uporabljajo cenejše (manj kakovostno) gorivo.…”

Section: Cena Gorivaunclassified

Pospeševanje skozi zgodovino

Kovač

2023

Prostor, Kraj, Čas

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Knjiga pred vami je nastala v želji po enostavnem odgovoru na vprašanji, kaj je avto in kakšen je njegov vpliv na naša življenja. Pri tem gre za kombinacijo anekdotičnih podatkov v obliki zabavnih ali vsaj zanimivih stereotipov o avtomobilih v povezavi s preverljivimi statističnimi podatki. Avtomobili so, kot boste še velikokrat prebrali, ena najvplivnejših iznajdb sodobne ere, ki je v približno poldrugem stoletju preobrazila tako naše navade kot tudi celotna mesta in pokrajine. Še več, ideja o avtomobilu se je tako usedla v naše možgane, da si življenja brez njega ne moremo niti povečini nočemo zamisliti. Zaradi osredotočenja na analizo podatkov, je knjiga bogato opremljena z grafikoni, ki dodatno pojasnjujejo določene statistične elemente o avtomobilih.Knjiga vsebuje obsežno zgodovinsko poglavje o zgodnjemu razvoju prometnih sredstev, saj le-ta vpliva na sedanjost in tudi prihodnost avtomobilizma. Pri tem je zgodovinski pregled osredotočen na cestna vozila. Kasneje so avtomobili in avtomobilska industrija postali pomembni nacionalni simboli in temu sledi tudi nadaljnji pregled razvoja avtomobilov in pomenljivih nacionalnih stereotipov. V novejšem času so se poprejšnji nacionalni mehurčki avtomobilske industrije začeli razblinjati in avtomobili po vsem svetu so si vse bolj podobni, pri čemer tako po obliki kot tehničnih podrobnostih sledijo globalnim trendom.V nadaljevanju knjige so analizirane nekatere zanimivejše lastnosti avtomobilov, od velikosti, moči in hitrosti, do barv in tudi starosti. Prav tako ne manjka ocena vpliva na okolje, najprej z oceno eksternih stroškov prometa, nato tudi z nekaterimi primeri izpustov, ki jih je in jih še vedno povzroča vsakodnevna široka uporaba avtomobilov. Pri vplivu prometa ni zapostavljeno niti vprašanje prometne varnosti, prav tako pomemben je pogled v prihodnost, ki obsega svoje poglavje.

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The Effect of Fuel Price on Demands for Road and Rail Travel: An Application to the French Case

Cited by 12 publications

References 2 publications

Analyzing Road Transport (Passenger and Freight) Demand in Pakistan with Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Co-Integration Approach

Analyzing Road Transport (Passenger and Freight) Demand in Pakistan with Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Co-Integration Approach

Easing the traffic: The effects of Indonesia’s fuel subsidy reforms on toll-road travel

Pospeševanje skozi zgodovino

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