The thoracolumbar injury classification and severity score (TLICS) system help surgeons decide whether patients should undergo initial operative treatment or nonoperative treatment. However, the best treatment for patients with TLICS 4 fracture remains unknown. The aim of this study was to identify the risk factors for nonoperative treatment failure in patients with TLICS 4 fracture and establish treatment standards for TLICS 4 fractures. This study included 44 patients with TLICS 4 fracture who initially received nonoperative treatment. We divided these patients into two groups: the successful nonoperative treatment group included 18 patients, and the operative treatment group after nonoperative treatment failure included 26 patients. In multiple logistic regression analysis, spinal canal compromise (odd ratio = 1.316) and kyphotic angle (odd ratio = 1.416) were associated with nonoperative treatment failure in patients with TLICS 4 fracture. Other factors, including age, sex, BMI, initial VAS score, and loss of vertebral body height, were not significantly associated with nonoperative treatment failure in these patients. Spinal canal compromise and kyphotic angle were associated with nonoperative treatment failure in patients with TLICS 4 fracture. Therefore, we recommend the surgeon observe spinal canal compromise and kyphotic angle more carefully when deciding on the treatment of patients with TLICS 4 fracture.