The electoral logic of governor rotations in Ukraine: rulers’ authority, party strength, and regional polarization

Torikai, Masatomo

doi:10.1080/1060586x.2019.1589683

Cited by 8 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 40 publications

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“…A peculiarity of the rivalry between these clans was that when one clan came to power, the representatives of another were dismissed. Thus, mass personnel changes at both the highest and regional political levels took place in 2005, when the Dnepropetrovsk clan gained power and influence, and in 2010, when a representative of the Donetsk clan was elected president (Torikai 2019). This system worked with some disruptions until, some experts believe, Yanukovych decided to weaken the influence of the oligarchs.…”

Section: Causes Of Elite Conflictmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Causes and Mechanisms of the Ukrainian Crisis of 2014: A Structural–Demographic Approach

Shevsky¹

2020

CDN

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This article tests the hypothesis that Ukraine experienced a state breakdown in 2014. The methodology employed to test this statement is based on achievements of structural-demographic theory, created by Jack Goldstone and developed by Peter Turchin. The reasons for a fiscal crisis, intra-elite conflict and mass mobilization (the three criteria for a state breakdown) are discussed. It is demonstrated that budget management in Ukraine was ineffective, and, coupled with an unbalanced political system, led to the fiscal crisis. The intraelite conflict was caused by Yanukovych's politics and by lack of resources as a consequence of elite overproduction, which led to fewer opportunities among the traditional elites. To demonstrate the mass discontent that was the main factor for the protests and rallies, evidence is presented that the population of Ukraine experienced immiseration in 2010-13. The final factor determining the future of the Ukrainian system was the delegitimization of power. This could happen only under the conditions of intra-elite conflict. All of these factors arose because of the high degree of capital concentration in the hands of the economic elite. The article concludes that we have every reason to say that a state breakdown occurred in Ukraine.

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Section: Causes Of Elite Conflictmentioning

confidence: 99%