The emergence of low fertility as a policy issue

McDonald, Peter

doi:10.18356/38775726-en

Cited by 6 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 61 publications

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“…Persistent low fertility (McDonald ), below the 1.5 level, leads some scholars to talk of a “low fertility trap” (Lutz, Skirbekk, and Testa ). Fertility trends in Italy and Spain have been in a steady decline for 40 years, shown by the birth cohorts from 1935 to 1975, albeit there is also some evidence of efforts to “catch up” after aged 30 (Caltabiano ).…”

Section: Postponement and Low Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Esping‐Andersen and Billari () read the evidence of “surprisingly stable” fertility preferences regarding marriage, motherhood, and the number of children (McDonald , 2013; Sobotka and Beaujouan ) optimistically. They point to a set of countries where once‐low fertility rates are on track to recovery to replacement levels, suggesting the possibility of societies such as Spain and Italy becoming “recovery societies” as “gender egalitarianism gains increasingly normative status” (Esping‐Andersen and Billari , 3).…”

Section: Postponement and Low Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

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Childbearing in Italy and Spain: Postponement Narratives

Lebano¹,

Jamieson²

2020

Population & Development Rev

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Italy and Spain are extreme cases of low fertility linked to postponement of childbearing. Demographers continue to debate causes of postponement. This qualitative study was designed to contribute, by purposively selecting Italian and Spanish women in different socio‐economic circumstances who are partnered, childless and aged 30 to 35. Most want children but “not now” or are deferring the decision whether to have children. Their different circumstances inflect explanations of postponement in a language of choice, either “taking time” to achieve other goals or “holding on” for conditions to change. They are encouraged to postpone by optimism about their capacity to conceive, flexible norms about “the right age,” prolonged dependence on their parents, the normative salience of “total motherhood,” and family‐unfriendly, gender‐unequal workplaces. Elements of competing demographic theories often coexist in interviewees' accounts. The “desires‐intentions gap” does not always capture their flow or complexity.

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Section: Postponement and Low Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Postponement and Low Fertility In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

Childbearing in Italy and Spain: Postponement Narratives

Lebano¹,

Jamieson²

2020

Population & Development Rev

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“…Rahadi et al (2015) identified the factors that affect the housing price in Indonesia, and later studied (Rahadi et al, 2021) the millennial generation's housing preferences during the COVID-19 pandemic. McDonald's (2008) social study concluded that high housing costs is a factor for the low fertility (birth rate) in East Asia. Yuhaniz and Jusan (2016) studied the design preferences for houses of Malay homemakers.…”

Section: Preference(s) and The Situation In East Asiamentioning

confidence: 99%

Housing Preference Structures in East Asia: An Empirical Study and Non-Paradigmatic Shifts Between Nearby Metropoles

Zhuang

Fu²

2023

International Journal of Strategic Property Management

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A systematic research flow was applied to the Southern Metropolis in Taiwan not only to recount residents’ considerations in this cultural area but also to compare them with those of other metropolitans on the island in relation to general housing concerns. The constructs and factors in housing decision-making were justified using the literature, confirmed with experts in the field, and organised as a decision hierarchy that formed the foundation of a survey. The investigation combined the analytic hierarchy process and Student’s t-test, both of which are credible methods, to facilitate a grounded process for mind mining. The importance of constructs/factors were thus assessed on a numerical basis, and a set of unforeseen insights were explored for the different parties of interest (e.g., buyers, construction companies, agents, asset managers, etc.). Opinion gaps between different sample groups were identified. This set of empirical knowledge filled the gap in the literature. It is noteworthy that among the constructs in the region studied, (housing) ‘conditions’ dominated ‘price’, while ‘location and transport’ was the least important. A ‘non-paradigmatic shift’ in people’s total housing preference structure, which changed gradually with decreasing population density and increasing plain geography from the north to the south between nearby metropoles, was observed, despite the niche but commensurable cultural norm in East Asia being the overall scenario of the island. Some existing claims about the housing preferences in this area were also either supported or rebutted by the quantitative evidence(s).

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“…National commitment to slow down population growth, combined with the support for the family planning program on a voluntary basis, to contribute to the environment policy proved to be very successful. In these five countries, the rapid decline in fertility resulted in having a significant impact on economic growth and life rate (Mc Donald, 2007).…”

Section: The Fertility Trends In Southeast Asian Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rural community transformation and fertility transition in Malaysia

Aznie¹

2020

Int. j. adv. appl. sci.

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The rural transformation experienced due to the fertility transition in Malaysia has proven to be very meaningful research. The research question of this study is aimed at the following motivations which led to a smaller number of children. This study used the factor analysis method to establish eight main groups of 65 items in the survey. The findings of this research will be beneficial for many people in determining the direction of developments of local communities either in terms of population or national development planning in the future. The objectives of this research have led to the identification of factors influencing fertility rates in rural area Malaysia. The analysis factor and regression method have been used to find the relationship among 385 women aged fifteen years and above. The results from the multiple regression method were used to predict the relationship between fertility and multiple variables such as the age of first marriage, education, occupation and income. All these factors showed that women in rural areas are also affected by the spill-over of the fertility variable factors as translated in the Transitions of the Modern Fertility which will lead to a decrease in the gross birth rate as has happened all over the world.

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The emergence of low fertility as a policy issue

Cited by 6 publications

References 61 publications

Childbearing in Italy and Spain: Postponement Narratives

Childbearing in Italy and Spain: Postponement Narratives

Housing Preference Structures in East Asia: An Empirical Study and Non-Paradigmatic Shifts Between Nearby Metropoles

Rural community transformation and fertility transition in Malaysia

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