The Employment Impact of Autonomous Vehicles

Beede, David N.; Powers, Regina H.; Ingram, C.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3022818

Cited by 15 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…The survey results indicate that the general public has some appreciation of the extensive job losses that are forecast to eventuate in specific industries involving driving as a primary skill set [ 4 ]. Consistent with the findings of the stakeholder interviews, there also appears to be some recognition among the general public that new employment opportunities will emerge in a range of supporting areas.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is projected that globally there will be wide-scale redundancies among drivers in the trucking, taxi, ride-share, courier, and food-delivery industries, and workers in other related industries, such as warehousing and manufacturing, are also likely to be greatly affected [ 2 , 3 ]. In the US, the Department of Commerce estimates that one in nine workers are currently in occupations that will be affected by the introduction of AVs [ 4 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Major potential benefits include a substantial reduction in death and injury resulting from traffic accidents [ 10 , 11 , 12 ], enhanced safety for pedestrians and cyclists [ 13 ], large reductions in emissions [ 12 , 14 , 15 ], improved mobility for the elderly and disabled [ 16 ], and the liberating of parking spaces for other land uses [ 11 ]. The potential disadvantages include increased traffic congestion (resulting from increased travel overall due to enhanced availability and lower costs, along with empty cars travelling the roads when collecting their owners or returning from trips) [ 12 , 17 ], concerns relating to privacy, security, insurance, and liability [ 18 ], as well as job losses [ 4 , 18 , 19 ]. The extent to which these positive and negative outcomes eventuate will be highly dependent on the AV applications that are most widely implemented, with shared AVs anticipated to provide greater benefits and to be able to off-set some of the negative consequences of widespread private AV ownership [ 20 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Potential Implications of Autonomous Vehicles in and around the Workplace

Pettigrew

Fritschi

Norman

2018

IJERPH

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The advent of autonomous vehicles is forecast to bring enormous changes to the workplace as positions primarily involving driving become progressively redundant. Little is known about public awareness of these impending changes and the potential impacts on society and individuals. This study involved a national survey of Australians and interviews with key stakeholders across multiple countries to identify major potential issues associated with vehicle automation, including in and around the workplace. Most survey respondents had concerns relating to job losses in driving occupations, while almost half anticipated increased employment in technology-related areas. Three primary themes were evident in the data from the stakeholder interviews: (1) the inevitability of the universal use of AVs and hence the immediate need for labour market planning, (2) associated potential effects on occupations that are not primarily structured around driving, and (3) the possibility of increased worker safety and enhanced commuting opportunities.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Potential Implications of Autonomous Vehicles in and around the Workplace

Pettigrew

Fritschi

Norman

2018

IJERPH

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“…The emergence of AVs may lead to difficulties for these individuals in finding alternative employment, potentially causing social problems for governments. The extent to which AVs could eliminate certain occupations, resulting in job losses and changing the mix of tasks involved in other occupations, is still unclear [87].…”

Section: Challenges To Av Adoptionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An overview of key evolutions in the light-duty vehicle sector and their impact on oil demand

Albrahim¹,

Zahrani²,

Arora

et al. 2019

Energy Transit

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The light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector is undergoing many changes, including technological advancements (e.g., vehicle electrification, automation), new business models (e.g., ride-hailing), and government regulations and policies (e.g., fuel economy (FE) standards, zero-emission vehicle mandates, infrastructure investments, and incentives to encourage adoption of alternative fuel vehicles). Despite significant uncertainty, these developments, combined with demographic growth, will influence the future LDV fleet size and composition, and consequently the oil demand from LDVs. This paper provides a review of changes in the LDV sector and an assessment of their impact on oil demand. It takes into account the impact of LDV fleet growth, increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and alternative fuels (focus on biofuels), and improvements in internal combustion engine vehicles' (ICEV) FE. Our analysis indicates that oil demand in 2040 could remain unchanged relative to 2016, but depending on the development of certain trends, demand could shrink or increase by ~6 million barrels per day (±25% relative to 2016). Our findings suggest that ICEV FE improvements could have a much greater impact on oil demand than the emergence of EVs. Moreover, preliminary research indicates that automation and shared mobility could reinforce the economic attractiveness of EVs, thereby increasing their penetration and impact on oil demand. Because of uncertainties in the development of these two trends by 2040 and difficulties in quantifying the complex interactions, we have not captured these effects in our model. Therefore, the range of uncertainty on the oil demand evolution could be even higher than our model indicates.

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“…Vehicles (Beede et al, 2017). As of 2015, there were 15.5 million individuals in the US whose employment can be impacted by autonomous vehicles.…”

Section: Impact On Jobs Due To the Advent Of Autonomousmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic and Tactical Guidance for the Connected and Autonomous Vehicle Future

Ukkusuri¹,

Sagir²,

Mahajan³

et al. 2019

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JOINT TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PROGRAMThe Joint Transportation Research Program serves as a vehicle for INDOT collaboration with higher education institutions and industry in Indiana to facilitate innovation that results in continuous improvement in the planning, design, construction, operation, management and economic efficiency of the Indiana transportation infrastructure. Abstract Autonomous vehicle (AV) and connected vehicle (CV) technologies are rapidly maturing and the timeline for their wider deployment is currently uncertain. These technologies are expected to have a number of significant societal benefits: traffic safety, improved mobility, improved road efficiency, reduced cost of congestion, reduced energy use, and reduced fuel emissions. State and local transportation agencies need to understand what this means for them and what they need to do now and in the next few years to prepare for the AV/CV future. In this context, the objectives of this research are as follows:1. Synthesize the existing state of practice and how other state agencies are addressing the pending transition to AV/CV environment 2. Estimate the impacts of AV/CV environment within the context of (a) traffic operations-impact of headway distribution and traffic signal coordination; (b) traffic control devices; (c) roadway safety in terms of intersection crashes 3. Provide a strategic roadmap for INDOT in preparing for and responding to potential issues This research is divided into two parts. The first part is a synthesis study of existing state of practice in the AV/CV context by conducting an extensive literature review and interviews with other transportation agencies. Based on this, we develop a roadmap for INDOT and similar agencies clearly delineating how they should invest in AV/CV technologies in the short, medium, and long term. The second part assesses the impacts of AV/CVs on mobility and safety via modeling in microsimulation software Vissim. 17.

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The Employment Impact of Autonomous Vehicles

Cited by 15 publications

References 4 publications

The Potential Implications of Autonomous Vehicles in and around the Workplace

The Potential Implications of Autonomous Vehicles in and around the Workplace

An overview of key evolutions in the light-duty vehicle sector and their impact on oil demand

Strategic and Tactical Guidance for the Connected and Autonomous Vehicle Future

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