Purpose:The presenting clinico-hematologic features of 1,283 patients with IgG and IgA monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance (MGUS) were correlated with the frequency of evolution into multiple myeloma (MM). Experimental Design: Two IgG MGUS populations were evaluated: a training sample (553 patients) and a test sample (378 patients); the IgA MGUS population consisted of 352 patients. Results: Forty-seven of the 553 training group patients and 22 of 378 test group IgG patients developed MM after a median follow-up of 6.7 and 3.6 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that serum monoclonal component (MC) levels of V1.5 g/dL, the absence of light-chain proteinuria and normal serum polyclonal immunoglobulin levels defined a prognostically favorable subset of patients, and could be used to stratify the patients into three groups at different 10-year risk of evolution (hazard ratio, 1.0, 5.04, 11.2; P < 0.001). This scoring system was validated in the test sample. Thirty of the 352 IgA patients developed MM after a median follow-up of 4.8 years, and multivariate analysis showed that hemoglobin levels of <12.5 g/dL and reduced serum polyclonal immunoglobulin correlated with progression. A pooled statistical analysis of all of the patients confirmed the validity of Mayo Clinic risk model showing that IgA class, serum MC levels, and light-chain proteinuria are the most important variables correlated with disease progression. Conclusions: Using simple variables, we validated a prognostic model for IgG MGUS. Among the IgA cases, the possible prognostic role of hemoglobin emerged in addition to a decrease in normal immunoglobulin levels.Monoclonal gammopathies of undetermined significance (MGUS) are the most common forms of plasma cell dyscrasia, with a prevalence of 3% in the general adult population ages >50 years. The incidence of MGUS increases with age, and is >5% in patients ages >70 years (1). By definition, serum monoclonal component (MC) concentrations are V3 g/dL and bone marrow plasma cell counts <10%; there is no related organ or tissue impairment and no evidence of multiple myeloma (MM), macroglobulinemia, amyloidosis, or other related plasma cell or lymphoproliferative disorders (2). As MGUS have a rate of malignant evolution of f1% per year (3 -6), it is important to identify the features at diagnosis that are capable of predicting neoplastic transformation. In a previous study of a limited series of IgG MGUS patients, we found that serum MC levels, the presence or absence of light-chain proteinuria, normal or decreased polyclonal immunoglobulin levels, and the percentage of bone marrow plasma cells were the most reliable variables in predicting different clinical outcomes (7). On the basis of these data, we also identified a subset of IgG MGUS patients at low risk of evolution for whom we proposed a noninvasive diagnostic approach, without bone marrow Imaging, Diagnosis, Prognosis