Continental water availability is of paramount importance for ecological and human well-being (Greve & Seneviratne, 2015;Milly et al., 2005). Many of the global impacts on agriculture, ecosystem services, human health, and economic activities are related to changes in water fluxes (D'Odorico et al., 2020;Roderick et al., 2014). Global climate change is expected to alter the water cycle dynamics (Haddeland et al., 2014) and the frequency and magnitude of extreme events (Aghakouchak et al., 2020), which will likely increase water availability-related issues (Rockström et al., 2009;Zhou et al., 2022). Along with climate change, water resources are also threatened by the growing water demand required to support an ever-increasing population (Hanasaki et al., 2013a(Hanasaki et al., , 2013bLiu et al., 2017). The compound effect of climate change and rising water demand is likely to exacerbate water scarcity around the globe (He et al., 2021), negatively impacting terrestrial ecosystems and potentially hindering progress toward the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 6: Clean Water and Sanitation, which aims to ensure "clean and accessible water for all" (van Vliet et al., 2021;Vanham et al., 2018). This challenging scenario is also seen in Brazil, even though the country contains nearly 15% of the world's renewable water resources (Getirana et al., 2021). Given its continental dimensions and highly heterogeneous hydroclimatic conditions, Brazil faces water scarcity due to its highly uneven distribution of water resources and intensification of water uses (Gesualdo et al., 2021). Additionally, Brazil is strongly dependent on hydroelectricity: approximately 60% of power generation comes from this sector (Hunt. et al., 2018). Notwithstanding, the country is expected to expand its irrigated areas, which may aggravate water stress (Multsch et al., 2020). This concerning situation will not only affect Brazil but may take on global proportions. Brazil plays a key role in global food security, being one of the largest agricultural producers (Pereira et al., 2012) and having areas classified as a global biodiversity hotspot (Myers et al., 2000). Therefore, understanding the present and future context of Brazilian water availability is urgently needed to ensure the nexus of water-food-energy-ecosystems services and a sustainable future for an increasing global population (McDonald et al., 2014).At long-term temporal scales, water availability, also known as runoff (Q), may be quantified as the difference between precipitation (P) and evapotranspiration (E) (Jawitz et al., 2022). Hence, a precise understanding of P-partitioning into E and Q is fundamental to tackle water availability-related issues, since changes in the