The Impact of Climate Change on Wildfire Severity: A Regional Forecast for Northern California

Fried, Jeremy S.; Torn, M. S.; Mills, Evan

doi:10.1023/b:clim.0000024667.89579.ed

Cited by 215 publications

(147 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Mouillot et al, 2002), fire management activities (Badia et al, 2002;Fried et al, 2008), topography and land use changes (Rego, 1992;Moreira et al, 2011), fire suppression policies and priorities, fire control organisational size and efficiency (Flannigan et al, 2005), and climate change (Davis and Michaelsen, 1995;Flannigan et al, 2000;Fried et al, 2004).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sensitivity and evaluation of current fire risk and future projections due to climate change: the case study of Greece

Karali

Hatzaki

Giannakopoulos

et al. 2014

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Current trends in the Mediterranean climate, and more specifically in Greece, indicate longer and more intense summer droughts that even extend out of season. In connection to this, the frequency of forest fire occurrence and intensity is on the rise. In the present study, the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) is used in order to investigate the relationship between fire risk and meteorological conditions in Greece. FWI is a meteorologically based index designed in Canada and used worldwide, including the Mediterranean Basin, to estimate fire danger in a generalised fuel type based solely on weather observations. Here, an evaluation of the index is initially performed for the Greek territory using fire observations that cover a 15 yr period. Three critical fire risk threshold values are established for the area of Greece based on daily mean meteorological data: FWI = 15, FWI = 30 and FWI = 45, increasing from the northwest to the southeast. Subsequently, a regional climate model is employed providing input for the FWI system to investigate the impacts of climate change on fire risk for two future time periods, 2021-2050 and 2071-2100, under the A1B emissions scenario. Days with critical fire risk are expected to increase by as many as 50 days per year by the end of the century.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sensitivity and evaluation of current fire risk and future projections due to climate change: the case study of Greece

Karali

Hatzaki

Giannakopoulos

et al. 2014

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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“…Less precipitation creates more potential for windblown dust storms (Yin et al, 2005; and allergens from drought-resistant foliage (Cahill, 2013). The frequency and intensity of wildfires are likely to increase as the climate changes (Fried et al, 2004;Littell et al, 2009;Liu et al, 2013), with documented adverse health consequences (Henderson and Johnston, 2012;Moeltner et al, 2013;Noonan and Balmes, 2010).…”

Section: Comments By John G Watson and Judith C Chowmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public health and components of particulate matter: The changing assessment of black carbon

Eklúnd¹,

Chow

Greenbaum

et al. 2014

Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association

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“…As the impact of climate change results in more extreme weather events (Flannigan & Wagner, 1991;Fried, Torn, & Mills, 2004;Hughes, 2003), fire and emergency service work is becoming increasingly important and needs to be well managed to save the communities from their effects. We present a study involving a real-life bushfire emergency management task carried out in the field by experienced emergency service operators working as a team in an emergency control room.…”

Section: Aims Of the Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Robust Multimodal Cognitive Load Measurement (RMCLM)

Chen¹

2013

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This report summarizes the important research activities, study results and research accomplishments out of the RMCLM project in the past year period. The objective of this project includes research of the fundamental issues related to the use of multiple input modalities and their fusion to enable robust and automatic cognitive load measurement (CLM) in the real world. Firstly, we carried out a further literature review on physiological measures of cognitive workload to include the recent advances of physiological measures of cognitive workload. In the meantime, we examined the use of various features (e.g. spectral and approximate entropies, wavelet-based complexity measures, correlation dimension, Hurst exponent) of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals to evaluate changes in working memory load during the performance of a cognitive task with varying difficulty/load levels. Eye based CLM was also studied. Three types of eye activity were investigated: pupillary response, blink, and eye movement (fixation and saccade). We further investigated the linguistic feature based CLM in this study and analyzed novel linguistic features as potential indices of cognitive load. All together, we had carried out CLM study of three unobtrusive modalities, namely EEG, eye activity, and linguistic feature based CLM, in the past year period. List of Publications Report Documentation PageForm Approved OMB No. Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. REPORT DATE APR 20132. REPORT TYPE This report summarizes the important research activities, study results and research accomplishments out of the RMCLM project in the past year period. The objective of this project includes research of the fundamental issues related to the use of multiple input modalities and their fusion to enable robust and automatic cognitive load measurement (CLM) in the real world. Firstly, we carried out a further literature review on physiological measures of cognitive workload to include the recent advances of physiological measures of cognitive workload. In the meantime, we examined the use of various features (e.g. spectral and approximate entropies, wavelet-based complexity measures, correlation dimension, Hurst exponent) of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals to evaluate changes ...

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The Impact of Climate Change on Wildfire Severity: A Regional Forecast for Northern California

Cited by 215 publications

References 23 publications

Sensitivity and evaluation of current fire risk and future projections due to climate change: the case study of Greece

Sensitivity and evaluation of current fire risk and future projections due to climate change: the case study of Greece

Public health and components of particulate matter: The changing assessment of black carbon

Robust Multimodal Cognitive Load Measurement (RMCLM)

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