The impact of COVID-19 on fertility behaviour and intentions in a middle income country

Emery, Tom; Koops, Judith C.

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0261509

Cited by 46 publications

(44 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…However, most of these studies have only analyzed the impact of changes in one factor, such as the economy, on fertility intentions during the COVID-19 pandemic. First of all, the economic recession caused by COVID-19 has greatly reduced people’s fertility intention [ 12 ], with the decline in fertility being more pronounced in higher socioeconomic groups [ 13 ]. Second, the negative impact of COVID-19 on people’s mental health is also an important reason for delaying family planning [ 14 ].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Fertility Intentions of Women with Childbearing Age in China

Chen

Hou

et al. 2022

Behavioral Sciences

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On 31 May 2021, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed the policy that a couple can have three children, and rolled out more supportive measures to further optimize the fertility policies. However, while the Chinese government is further optimizing its fertility policy, the sudden outbreak of COVID-19 is raging around the world, which threatens the implementation of China’s fertility optimization policy. Based on this, this paper firstly explores the impact of COVID-19 on women’s fertility intentions. Secondly, based on the Theory of Planned Behavior, this paper constructs a structural equation model to quantitatively reveal the specific factors that affect women’s fertility intentions under the epidemic, as well as their impact paths, and then puts forward corresponding suggestions for the government to solve the problem of fertility, aiming at delaying population aging and optimizing population structure. The research results show that: (1) COVID-19 lowers the fertility intentions of women of childbearing age. (2) During the pandemic, economic pressure emerged as the biggest factor affecting women’s fertility intentions. The decline in income caused by the pandemic has become an important factor in preventing women from having children. (3) The conflict between work and childbearing is still an important factor affecting the fertility intentions of women of childbearing age. The government’s provision of perfect childcare services and their strengthening of the protection of women’s employment rights and interests will greatly reduce women’s anxiety about childbearing.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Fertility Intentions of Women with Childbearing Age in China

Chen

Hou

et al. 2022

Behavioral Sciences

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“…They did not affect all populations equally: in the context of the United States, characterised by huge social status inequalities as well as unequal access to health care services, Bailey et al (2022) show that low-income women with no health insurance experienced an increase in unplanned pregnancies and births during the pandemic. In Moldova, Emery and Koops (2022) found that the lockdowns in the early stage of the pandemic limited access to long-lasting contraception in rural Moldova, resulting in a higher use of short-term methods, especially condoms. Fluctuations in the use of reproductive health services could also occur due to changes in demand rather than supply restrictions: Vilain et al (2022) found that induced abortions in France did not fall significantly during the first two pandemic months, in March-April 2020.…”

Section: Disruptions In Access To Contraception Reproductive Health A...mentioning

confidence: 99%

From bust to boom? Birth and fertility responses to the COVID-19 pandemic

Sobotka¹,

Jasilioniene²,

Zeman³

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Past economic, health and policy shocks were associated with a downturn in fertility. We use monthly birth data collected by the Human Fertility Database (Short-Term Fertility Fluctuations data series) to analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on birth trends until April 2022 in 37 highly developed countries. We also present estimates of monthly total fertility rate adjusted for seasonality. Overall, the coronavirus pandemic did not bring a lasting “baby bust” in most of the analyzed countries. On balance, many countries experienced an improvement in their birth dynamics compared with the pre-pandemic period. This was especially the case in the Nordic countries, German-speaking countries and Western Europe, alongside New Zealand, Israel and Quebec. However, this summary picture hides distinct short-term shifts during the pandemic. The initial pandemic shock resulted in a fall in births in most countries, with the sharpest drop in January 2021. Next, birth rates showed a surprising short-term recovery in March 2021, linked with the conceptions after the end of the first wave of the pandemic. Most countries then reported stable or slightly increasing numbers of births in the subsequent months, especially in Autumn 2021. Yet another downturn in births and fertility rates occurred in January-April 2022.

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“…For instance, [ 84 ] assess the impact of the COVID pandemic on fertility intentions and behaviour in the Republic of Moldova, a middle-income country in Eastern Europe, using the Generations and Gender Survey. The contribution of [ 85 ] is interesting too as their study presents an overview of changes in fertility plans during the pandemic crisis in a sample of the population between 18 and 34 years old in Italy, Germany, France, Spain and the United Kingdom, showing that these plans were negatively revised in all countries although not in the same way.…”

Section: Background: a Literature Review On Fertility And Age Structu...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Projecting Spanish fertility at regional level: A hierarchical Bayesian approach

2022

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The transition from a demographic regime of high mortality and high fertility to one with low mortality and low fertility is universal and comes along with the process of socio-economic modernization. The Spanish total fertility rate has decreased to below replacement levels in the last decades. The decline has persisted since the 1960s and is diverse across the country. Based on that diversity, the use of population forecasts, not only at national but at regional levels, for planning purposes (governments and private sector) with large horizons has become a must to provide essential services. Using a Bayesian hierarchical model we constructed probabilistic fertility forecasts for Spain at the regional level. Although this approach is already issued by the United Nations little research has been done focusing on the Spanish subnational level. Our objective is to disaggregate the national projections of the total fertility rate for Spain into regional forecasts. The results of this research will show the model fitting, first to the national level and then using a multifaceted and continuous evolution of fertility over time, at the regional level, to check its convergence.

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The impact of COVID-19 on fertility behaviour and intentions in a middle income country

Cited by 46 publications

References 18 publications

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Fertility Intentions of Women with Childbearing Age in China

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Fertility Intentions of Women with Childbearing Age in China

From bust to boom? Birth and fertility responses to the COVID-19 pandemic

Projecting Spanish fertility at regional level: A hierarchical Bayesian approach

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