The impact of different policy environments on agricultural land use in Europe

Meijl, Hans van; Rheenen, T. van; Tabeau, Andrzej; Eickhout, B.

doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.006

Cited by 331 publications

(208 citation statements)

References 9 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

196

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Interactions concerning food demand, biomass energy and forest at the global scale are subject to growing interest, especially regarding indirect land-use changes (Searchinger et al, 2008) and the consequences for food prices of agrofuel production and forest preservation (Baier et al, 2009;Tokgoz and Elobeid, 2006;Wise et al, 2009). This study presents a new global model approach to tackling this issue by providing a detailed representation of agricultural intensification mechanisms -which are viewed as a key driver to bridge conflicts on land-use (van Vuuren et al, 2009) -in a structure accounting for the main types of demand for biomass at the global scale.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…implemented in MIRAGE, Decreux and Valin, 2007), or on an explicit description of the agricultural sector both in economic and biophysical terms. In van Meijl et al (2006), demand for land and intensification from the GTAP general equilibrium model is used in the IMAGE model to determine changes in land yield and feed efficiency rates. Two partial equilibrium models of the agricultural sector, MAgPIE (LotzeCampen et al, 2008) and GLOBIOM (Havlík et al, 2011), take into account economic constraints through a cell-based cost minimisation, and are coupled with a dynamic vegetation model with explicit crop functional types.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use

et al. 2012

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract.Interactions between food demand, biomass energy and forest preservation are driving both food prices and land-use changes, regionally and globally. This study presents a new model called Nexus Land-Use version 1.0 which describes these interactions through a generic representation of agricultural intensification mechanisms within agricultural lands. The Nexus Land-Use model equations combine biophysics and economics into a single coherent framework to calculate crop yields, food prices, and resulting pasture and cropland areas within 12 regions inter-connected with each other by international trade. The representation of cropland and livestock production systems in each region relies on three components: (i) a biomass production function derived from the crop yield response function to inputs such as industrial fertilisers; (ii) a detailed representation of the livestock production system subdivided into an intensive and an extensive component, and (iii) a spatially explicit distribution of potential (maximal) crop yields prescribed from the Lund-Postdam-Jena global vegetation model for managed Land (LPJmL). The economic principles governing decisions about land-use and intensification are adapted from the Ricardian rent theory, assuming cost minimisation for farmers. In contrast to the other land-use models linking economy and biophysics, crops are aggregated as a representative product in calories and intensification for the representative crop is a non-linear function of chemical inputs. The model equations and parameter values are first described in details. Then, idealised scenarios exploring the impact of forest preservation policies or rising energy price on agricultural intensification are described, and their impacts on pasture and cropland areas are investigated.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use

et al. 2012

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…It is built upon the GTAP model (Hertel, 1997) and is the successor to the LEITAP model, which was used in the MEV I study and in many other policy analyses (see e.g. Banse et al, 2008;van Meijl et al, 2006;Nowicki et al, 2009, Woltjer, 2011. MAGNET is one of the nine global models selected in the OECD\AgMIP model inter-comparison project on the long term future of agriculture (including bioenergy developments; see Nelson et al, 2013;Von Lampe et al, 2014and Robinson et al, 2014.…”

Section: Methodological Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

“…MAGNET includes an improved treatment of agricultural sectors (e.g. various imperfectly substitutable types of land, the land use allocation structure, a land supply function, and substitution between various animal feed components; Meijl et al, 2006, Eickhout et al, 2009), agricultural policy (e.g. production quotas and different land-related payments; Nowicki et al, 2009) and biofuel policy (capital-energy substitution, fossil fuels-biofuels substitution; Banse et al, 2008).…”

Section: Methodological Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

Meijl¹,

Tsiropoulos²,

Bartelings³

et al. 2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study was carried out by LEI Wageningen UR and Copernicus Institute of Utrecht University and was commissioned and financed by the topsector platform for knowledge development and innovation of the crosscutting theme bio-based economy (TKI-BBE) and the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs (Min EZ). The study is performed within the BE-Basic R&D programme and project partners Essent, DSM and Corbion provided in-kind contributions to the economic and technical aspects of the work. LEI Wageningen URWageningen, March 2016 REPORT LEI 2016 Van Meijl, H., I. Tsiropoulos, H. Bartelings, M. van den Broek, R. Hoefnagels, M. Van Leeuwen, E. Smeets, A. Tabeau and A. Faaij, 2016. Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II De Nederlandse overheid verwacht dat een grootschalige toepassing van biomassa nodig is om aan de emissiedoelstellingen te voldoen, maar de macro-economische effecten hiervan op de Nederlandse economie zijn onbekend. Deze studie onderzoekt de effecten van een bio-economie op zowel systeemals macro-economisch niveau en toont aan dat de bio-economie positief kan bijdragen aan de Nederlandse economie, het behalen van broeikasgasreductiedoelstellingen en aan het reduceren van de kosten van het terugdringen van broeikasgasemissies. Om deze effecten te realiseren zijn grootschalige technologische veranderingen en wereldwijde markten belangrijk, maar lage prijzen van fossiele energie leiden tot minder macro-economische voordelen. Om de positieve macro-economische effecten en CO 2 -reductie te realiseren is een stimuleringsbeleid noodzakelijk.To meet the emission targets, the Dutch government expects that a large-scale deployment of biomass is needed but the macroeconomic impacts on the Dutch economy are unknown. This study analyses the impacts of the bio-based economy at both system and macroeconomic levels and shows that large-scale deployment of biomass up to 2030 positively contributes to the Dutch economy, contributes to meeting the emission reduction targets and to reducing its macroeconomic costs. High technological change and global markets are important to achieve these impacts, but low fossil energy prices reduce the macroeconomic benefits. To achieve the positive macroeconomic impacts and emission reduction, a stimulus by policies is necessary.Key words: Bioeconomy, macro-economic impacts, technological change, international markets, bottom-up analyses, modelling, renewable energy policies, bio-refineries, Netherlands. The user may reproduce, distribute and share this work and make derivative works from it. Material by third parties which is used in the work and which are subject to intellectual property rights may not be used without prior permission from the relevant third party. The user must attribute the work by stating the name indicated by the author or licensor but may not do this in such a way as to create the impression that the author/licensor endorses the use of the work or the work of the user. The user may not use the work for commercial purpo...

show abstract

“…This approach is well-established and allows for the application of successful models across large geographical extents (Heistermann et al 2006;van Meijl et al 2006;Verburg et al 2008;Verburg and Overmars 2009;Meiyappan et al 2014). However, many other models take an alternative 'bottom-up' (or 'process-based') approach that focuses on basic processes and entities and allows system-wide developments to emerge from these, synthetically producing output data from local interactions.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A philosophical case for process-based modelling of land use change

Brown

Rounsevell

2016

Model. Earth Syst. Environ.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Modelling is used to describe, explore and predict changes in land use and other human systems. 'Top-down' and 'bottom-up' modelling approaches are both popular, and each has important philosophical implications that correspond closely to major debates in social science. We outline some key contributions to these debates and argue that social processes such as those underlying land use decisions are fundamentally determined by individual intentionality, interacting with social norms of language, culture and institutions, rather than by general and predictable 'laws'. Therefore, bottom-up models that reflect these processes offer far more informative accounts of system development. However, prediction remains outside the scope of either approach, and methods of validation based on tests of historical predictive ability risk over-fitting to trends and underestimating uncertainties. We explore the implications of these arguments for model design and use, and for general understanding of such fundamentally complex, spontaneously evolving systems.

show abstract

The impact of different policy environments on agricultural land use in Europe

Cited by 331 publications

References 9 publications

The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use

The Nexus Land-Use model version 1.0, an approach articulating biophysical potentials and economic dynamics to model competition for land-use

Macroeconomic outlook of sustainable energy and biorenewables innovations (MEV II)

A philosophical case for process-based modelling of land use change

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About