The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey

Serttaş, Fatma Özgü; Uluöz, Davut

doi:10.31679/adamakademi.796016

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…Refugees can be beneficial for the economy but for that purpose government intervention is needed. However, immigrants do prove to be beneficial to some extent but in case of Turkey, as the Syrian refugees were not awarded with working permit so it became hard for them to integrate in the job market (Serttas & Uluoz, 2020). Fallahet.al., (2019 studied the impact of refugee influx on unemployment and wages in Jordan.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of Afghan Refugee Influx on Labor Market Outcomes in Pakistan

Javaid

Mohyuddin

Bashir

et al. 2022

RAMSS

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The study gauges the impact of refugee influx on the labor market in Pakistan. The impact of Afghan refugees is analyzed using three indicators of labor market namely, unemployment, formal employment and informal employment from years 1979 to 2022. For the purpose of analysis, ADF and PP tests are applied first for examining unit root problem. Variables are found having mixed order of integration so ARDL bound test for co-integration is used to derive long run and short run relationship between labor market indicators and refugee inflow. It is found that Afghan refugees have caused positive impact on the labor market of Pakistan in long run while in the short run, it increases unemployment rate. Expenditure on Education, CPI, GDP, Trade Openness and Gross Fixed Capital are significantly reducing Unemployment rate of Pakistan. Expenditure on Education and Gross Fixed Capital are found to have positive effect while CPI and population Growth are reducing Formal Employment. Hence, it is concluded that refugees can serve as stimulus for investment and production in the country.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of Afghan Refugee Influx on Labor Market Outcomes in Pakistan

Javaid

Mohyuddin

Bashir

et al. 2022

RAMSS

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“…From an economic point of view, civil wars disrupt the balance of demand and supply of manpower in an economy, causing the supply (demand) curves to shift upward (downward), resulting in an excess of manpower supply, which significantly heightens the unemployment rate [6,7]. The short-run consequences of war-driven unemployment may simultaneously swallow per capita savings and decrease per capita real income and aggregate consumption, which can be adjusted by effective interference [8], while the long-run consequences of war-driven unemployment have far more serious social impacts on the economy, inflicting severe negativity and inconceivable human suffering [9], which will take an unexpectedly long time to recover to its pre-war state.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing the Consequences of Long-Run Civil War on Unemployment Rate: Empirical Evidence from Afghanistan

2023

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This article aims to uncover the asymmetric labor-market consequences of the long-run civil war in Afghanistan by employing a non-linear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model and an asymmetric causality technique over the period from 2004Q3 to 2020Q4. The findings from the NARDL model reveal that the positive asymmetric shocks from the cost of war, GDP growth, final government expenditure, foreign direct investment, and the rule of law significantly decrease the unemployment rate, while their negative asymmetric shocks increase the unemployment rate in the short and long runs. Innovatively, the composite financial inclusion index has been incorporated into the model, which provides interesting results. It demonstrates that enhancing the outreach of financial services plays an important role in reducing the unemployment rate during wartime in Afghanistan, while its exclusion is found to increase the unemployment rate both in the short and long runs. Moreover, the results of the asymmetric causality test reveal that an asymmetric causality runs from both the positive and negative components of the cost of war, the composite financial inclusion index, GDP growth, foreign direct investment, inflation rate, population growth, and the rule of law to the unemployment rate, while no evidence is found to support a causality nexus between the unemployment rate, final government expenditure, and the secondary school enrollment rate. The results entail several policy implications that are discussed.

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The Impact of Refugees on Income Inequality in Developing Countries by Using Quantile Regression, ANN, Fixed and Random Effect

et al. 2022

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Refugees affect the hosting countries both politically and economically, but the size of impact differs among these societies. While this effect emerges mostly in the form of cultural cohesion, security, and racist discourses in developed societies, it mostly stands out with its economic dimension such as unemployment, growth, and inflation in developing countries. Although different reflections exist in different societies, the reaction is expected to be higher if it affects social welfare negatively. Accordingly, one of the parameters that should be addressed is the effect of refugees on income distribution since the socio-economic impact is multifaceted. In this study, the effect of refugees on income inequality is analyzed by using quantile regression with fixed effects and Driscoll–Kraay Fixed Effect (FE)/Random Effect (RE) methods for the period of 1991 to 2020 in the 25 largest refugee-hosting developing countries. According to the findings of the study, the functional form of the relationship between refugees and income inequality in the countries is N-shaped. Accordingly, refugees first increase income inequality, decrease it after reaching a certain level, and then start increasing it, albeit at a low level.

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The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey

Cited by 3 publications

References 46 publications

The impact of Afghan Refugee Influx on Labor Market Outcomes in Pakistan

The impact of Afghan Refugee Influx on Labor Market Outcomes in Pakistan

Analyzing the Consequences of Long-Run Civil War on Unemployment Rate: Empirical Evidence from Afghanistan

The Impact of Refugees on Income Inequality in Developing Countries by Using Quantile Regression, ANN, Fixed and Random Effect

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