The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Cryptocurrency Market

Abstract

The purpose of our paper is to analyze the main factors which influence fiscal balance’s evolution and thereby identify solutions for configuring a sustainable fiscal policy. We have selected as independent variables some of the main macroeconomic measures, respectively public debt, unemployment rate, economy openness degree, population, consumer goods’ price index, current account balance, direct foreign investments and economic growth rate. Our research method uses two econometric models applied on a sample of 22 countries, respectively 14 developed and 8 emergent. The first model is a multiple regression and studies the connection between the fiscal balance and selected independent variables, whereas the second one uses first order differences and introduces economic freedom as a dummy variable to catch the dynamic influences of selected measures upon fiscal result. The time interval considered was 1999-2013. The results generated using the two models revealed that public debt, current account balance and economic growth significantly influence the fiscal balance. As a consequence, the governments need to plan and implement a fiscal policy which resonates with economy priorities and the phase of the economic cycle, as well as ensure a proper management of the public debt, stimulate sustainable economic growth and employment.

Volatility in Cryptocurrency Prices During COVID-19

“…Azari (2019) [3] trains the ARIMA model for 3 years to predict the Bitcoin price, during which the Bitcoin price experienced high-frequency fluctuations. Mgadmi et al (2022) [10] observe an increase in the cross-market correlation between cryptocurrency and traditional markets during the pandemic. Additionally, Aalborg et al (2018) [1] suggest that high trading volume increases volatility, while more transactions can help stabilize the market.…”