2021
DOI: 10.1093/qopen/qoab005
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The impacts of COVID-19 on GDP, food prices, and food security

Abstract: COVID-19 has led to a wealth of research examining possible impacts; however, potential impacts to food security have received much less attention. We use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the potential impacts of COVID-19 using observed changes from 2020 (September) in unemployment, trade, oil prices, and production to inform our model. Estimated GDP and food price changes are then used as inputs into the International Food Security Assessment (IFSA) model which estimates changes in food cons… Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(30 citation statements)
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“…Surprisingly, food prices in India increased at a higher rate than what was observed in the world. A recent global study noted that COVID-19-induced changes in income and food prices could alter global food security [ 29 ]. The authors estimated that approximately between 136 and 271 million people in 72 low and middle-income countries could be food insecure due to the income effects of the outbreak.…”
Section: Conclusion and Policy Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Surprisingly, food prices in India increased at a higher rate than what was observed in the world. A recent global study noted that COVID-19-induced changes in income and food prices could alter global food security [ 29 ]. The authors estimated that approximately between 136 and 271 million people in 72 low and middle-income countries could be food insecure due to the income effects of the outbreak.…”
Section: Conclusion and Policy Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As a result, around 88–115 million additional people were pushed into extreme poverty [ 28 ]. The number of food-insecure people increased as high as 211 million (a 27.8% increase) due to the pandemic-induced food price hikes (9% increase in grain prices) [ 29 ]. Furthermore, the global maritime trade reduced approximately 7–10% during the first eight months of 2020, equivalent to US$ 225–412 billion in trade value losses [ 30 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This tool is widely used to understand the welfare effects of economic policy, since by describing the behavior of producers and consumers and the links between them, it allows determining the distributional effects of an external shock. Recently, it has become an important instrument for different research on Covid-19, the agricultural sector, and food security Laborde, Martin and Vos 2021;Beckman, Baquedano, and Countryman 2021;Swinnen, and Vos, 2021;Zidouemba, Kinda and Ouedraogo, 2020).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Se evidencia un desbalance entre la oferta y la demanda en la agricultura, debido a que en los primeros meses de pandemia gobernó la incertidumbre que ha provocado la interrupción de la cadena de (19,20). Figura 3.…”
Section: Inseguridad Alimentaria Durante El Confinamiento Por Covid-19unclassified