The importance of eco-evolutionary dynamics for predicting and managing insect range shifts

Wellenreuther, Maren; Dudaniec, Rachael Y.; Neu, Anika; Lessard, Jean‐Philippe; Bridle, Jon R.; Carbonell, José; Diamond, Sarah E.; Marshall, Katie E.; Parmesan, Camille; Singer, Michael C.; Swaegers, Janne; Thomas, Chris D.; Lancaster, Lesley T.

doi:10.1016/j.cois.2022.100939

Cited by 7 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 52 publications

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“…Moreover, the ability of insects to track shifting thermoclines will be affected by various aspects of their eco‐evolutionary dynamics (Miller et al, 2020; Wellenreuther et al, 2022). Predicting this to inform management strategies will increasingly require the use of modeling and genomic sequencing (Wellenreuther et al, 2022).…”

Section: Effects Of Long‐term Anthropogenic Climate Change On Insectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The general consensus among these different approaches is that species at lowest latitudes or elevations must migrate to cooler environments to avoid extinction (Colwell et al, 2008;Sunday et al, 2011Sunday et al, , 2014 (Figure 3a,b). Moreover, the ability of insects to track shifting thermoclines will be affected by various aspects of their eco-evolutionary dynamics (Miller et al, 2020;Wellenreuther et al, 2022). Predicting this to inform management strategies will increasingly require the use of modeling and genomic sequencing (Wellenreuther et al, 2022).…”

Section: Effect On Species Distributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, the ability of insects to track shifting thermoclines will be affected by various aspects of their eco-evolutionary dynamics (Miller et al, 2020;Wellenreuther et al, 2022). Predicting this to inform management strategies will increasingly require the use of modeling and genomic sequencing (Wellenreuther et al, 2022). Warren et al (2018) generated bioclimatic models predicting the effects of slight, moderate and extreme warming on geographic range losses incurred by 34,000 insect species across the biosphere.…”

Section: Effect On Species Distributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Scientists' warning on climate change and insects

Harvey

Tougeron

Gols

et al. 2022

Ecological Monographs

224

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Section: Effects Of Long‐term Anthropogenic Climate Change On Insectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Effect On Species Distributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Effect On Species Distributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Scientists' warning on climate change and insects

Harvey

Tougeron

Gols

et al. 2022

Ecological Monographs

224

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…These associations, however, evolved under constraints (e.g., intra‐specific competition and predation pressure) and do not necessarily constrain a species to innately preferred resources. Successful use of alternative resources has been documented (e.g., James Reynolds et al., 2019; Santamaría et al., 2022; Wellenreuther et al., 2022), and the ability of species to opportunistically exploit novel suitable resources has, for example, been linked to range‐shifting potential in butterflies (Braschler & Hill, 2007; Graves & Shapiro, 2003; Pateman et al., 2012), other insects (Branco et al., 2015), squamates (Li & Wiens, 2022), and reef fishes (Monaco et al., 2020). Behavioural plasticity is widely considered to be one of the main mechanisms through which animals deal with novel environmental challenges (Sol et al., 2013) including during species' range shifts under climate change (Chevin & Lande, 2011; Valladares et al., 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating learning into animal range dynamics under rapid human‐induced environmental change

Aben,

Travis,

Van Dyck

et al. 2024

Ecology Letters

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Human‐induced rapid environmental change (HIREC) is creating environments deviating considerably from natural habitats in which species evolved. Concurrently, climate warming is pushing species’ climatic envelopes to geographic regions that offer novel ecological conditions. The persistence of species is likely affected by the interplay between the degree of ecological novelty and phenotypic plasticity, which in turn may shape an organism's range‐shifting ability. Current modelling approaches that forecast animal ranges are characterized by a static representation of the relationship between habitat use and fitness, which may bias predictions under conditions imposed by HIREC. We argue that accounting for dynamic species‐resource relationships can increase the ecological realism of range shift predictions. Our rationale builds on the concepts of ecological fitting, the process whereby individuals form successful novel biotic associations based on the suite of traits they carry at the time of encountering the novel condition, and behavioural plasticity, in particular learning. These concepts have revolutionized our view on fitness in novel ecological settings, and the way these processes may influence species ranges under HIREC. We have integrated them into a model of range expansion as a conceptual proof of principle highlighting the potentially substantial role of learning ability in range shifts under HIREC.

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“…On the other hand, evolution could lead to adaptations that facilitate climate tracking via shifts in geographic range and phenology (Parmesan, 2006). For example, the evolution of dispersal traits can facilitate geographic range shifts (e.g., Wellenreuther et al, 2022). Likewise, the evolution of responses to photoperiodic cues can facilitate tracking of changing seasons (e.g., Bradshaw & Holzapfel, 2006).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

When will a changing climate outpace adaptive evolution?

Martin

Silva

Moore

et al. 2023

WIREs Climate Change

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Decades of research have illuminated the underlying ingredients that determine the scope of evolutionary responses to climate change. The field of evolutionary biology therefore stands ready to take what it has learned about influences upon the rate of adaptive evolution—such as population demography, generation time, and standing genetic variation—and apply it to assess if and how populations can evolve fast enough to “keep pace” with climate change. Here, our review highlights what the field of evolutionary biology can contribute and what it still needs to learn to provide more mechanistic predictions of the winners and losers of climate change. We begin by developing broad predictions for contemporary evolution to climate change based on theory. We then discuss methods for assessing climate‐driven contemporary evolution, including quantitative genetic studies, experimental evolution, and space‐for‐time substitutions. After providing this mechanism‐focused overview of both the evidence for evolutionary responses to climate change and more specifically, evolving to keep pace with climate change, we next consider the factors that limit actual evolutionary responses. In this context, we consider the dual role of phenotypic plasticity in facilitating but also impeding evolutionary change. Finally, we detail how a deeper consideration of evolutionary constraints can improve forecasts of responses to climate change and therefore also inform conservation and management decisions.This article is categorized under: Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Observed Ecological Changes Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Extinction Risk Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change

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The importance of eco-evolutionary dynamics for predicting and managing insect range shifts

Cited by 7 publications

References 52 publications

Scientists' warning on climate change and insects

Scientists' warning on climate change and insects

Integrating learning into animal range dynamics under rapid human‐induced environmental change

When will a changing climate outpace adaptive evolution?

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