Abstract. Atmospheric general circulation changes from March 1979 to
February 2022 are examined using the ERA5 reanalysis. Maps of linear trends
and time series for specific areas are presented. Attention is concentrated
on monthly, seasonal and annual means, but shorter-timescale variability is
also considered, including extremes. Changes in near-tropopause winds are
the main focus, but related changes in temperature, wind and other variables throughout the troposphere are discussed. Middle- and upper-tropospheric warming is larger in the subtropics and outer tropics than in the deep tropics, except over the Pacific. This is linked with a strengthening and meridional expansion of the tropical easterlies that has received little previous attention. The change occurs predominantly
over the first half of the period. Warming over several mid-latitude and
subtropical land areas comes close to matching the large warming of the
Arctic, in some seasons at least. Westerly upper-level winds in general
weaken over the Arctic in winter but strengthen in northern middle
latitudes, contrary to arguments based on circulation changes due solely to
amplified Arctic warming. The jet-stream region over the eastern North
Atlantic and western Europe shifts southward. Westerlies strengthen in a
band stretching south-eastwards from the tropical western Pacific to
southern Australia, as well as in the polar-jet-stream region that surrounds
Antarctica. Extreme jet-stream winds increase over the North Atlantic. Net kinetic
energy also increases, mostly associated with sub-monthly variability along
the mid-latitude storm tracks and over the tropical Pacific. Available
potential energy changes less. Geopotential height shows a distinct pattern
of change in stationary long-wave structures. There are increases in surface pressure over the North Pacific and southern mid-latitudes and decreases over the Arctic Ocean and offshore of Antarctica. Several comparisons are made between ERA5 and the JRA-55 reanalysis and
between ERA5 and the observations it assimilated. They show reassuring
agreement, but some regional differences require further investigation.