Objective
We examined the prognostic significance of left ventricular (LV) mass for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in older adults with and without metabolic syndrome (MetS) and diabetes (DM).
Background
MetS and DM are associated with increased CVD risk, but it is unclear in these groups whether subclinical CVD evidenced by increased LV mass improves risk prediction over standard risk factors in older individuals.
Methods
We studied 3,724 adults (mean age 72.4 ± 5.4, 61.0% female, 4.4% African American) from the Cardiovascular Health Study who had MetS (but without DM), DM, or neither condition. Cox regression examined the association of LV mass (alone and indexed by height and body surface area [BSA]) determined by echocardiography with CVD events, including coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and CVD death, as well as total mortality. We also assessed the added prediction, discriminative value and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for clinical utility of LV mass over standard risk factors.
Results
Over a mean follow-up of 14.2 ± 6.3 years, 2,180 subjects experienced CVD events, including 986 CVD deaths. After adjustment for age, gender and standard risk factors, LV mass was positively associated with CVD events in those with MetS (hazard ratio [HR]=1.4, p<0.001) and without MetS (HR=1.4, p<0.001), but not DM (HR=1.0, p=0.62), with similar findings for LV mass indexed for height or BSA. Adding LV mass to standard risk factors moderately improved the prediction accuracy in the overall sample and MetS group from changes in C-statistics (p<0.05). Categorical-free net reclassification improvement increased significantly by 17–19% in those with MetS. Findings were comparable for CHD, CVD mortality and total mortality.
Conclusions
LV mass is associated with increased CVD risk and provides modest added prediction and clinical utility over standard risk factors in older persons with and without MetS, but not with DM.