The Past and Future of Human Capital in South-East Asia

Abstract

Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may / 2006Abstract This paper examines levels of educational attainment in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam for the period 1970-2030 through the reconstruction and projection of levels of educational attainment. While the study of the past shows that the determination to invest in education has been strong in the six countries, the investments were implemented at different pace and intensity, the projections show the legacy of past investments. In Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand, there will be tangible increases in the proportion of the working age population with a tertiary education. The Philippines will have a dichotomous society where large proportions will either have a tertiary education or only a primary education. In Indonesia, the bulk of the working age population will shift from primary in 2000 to secondary by 2030. The projection horizon and the trend type of scenario do not allow Vietnam to catch up with the other countries.

A Harmonized Dataset on Global Educational Attainment Between 1970 and 2060 – An Analytical Window Into Recent Trends and Future Prospects in Human Capital Development

“…Eastern Asia and South America provide some interesting aspects as both regions have similar levels of MYS throughout the period but the generational gap was much stronger in 1970 in Eastern Asia than it was in South America, still reaching the same levels in 2010. This is pointing at rapid increases in the former sub-region -education progress has been one of the key components in the success of the east Asian Tigers economies [Goujon and K.C. (2008)] -compared to less change across cohorts in the latter.…”

Comparison of Population Aging in Europe and Asia Using a Time-Consistent and Comparative Aging Measure

“…Moreover, given the differences in life expectancy between various subgroups, such as sex, class, and regions (Crimmins et al, 2011; Jasilionis & Shkolnikov, 2016; Luy & Minagawa, 2014; Rieker & Bird, 2005), and the differences in human capital in general between different subgroups (Balachandran & James, 2019; Becker, 1985; Blau & Kahn, 2000; Bloom, Canning, & Malaney, 2000; Goujon & Samir, 2008; Prskawetz et al, 2006; Skirbekk, 2004), it might be worthwhile for these and future measures of aging to provide group-specific estimates. We believe that our measure also has implications for other social science disciplines like economics, sociology, and political science, and thus can be applied in these disciplines.…”

Effect of Fertility Policy Changes on the Population Structure and Economy of China: From the Perspective of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

“…A multidimensional population model is used to produce population projections (Rogers, ). The multidimensional population model has been successfully applied to North Africa, India, the Middle East, Southeast Asia (Goujon, ; Goujon et al, ; Goujon & McNay, ; Goujon & Samir, ), and China without considering the different development pathways (Meng et al, ).…”