The role of computer modelling in participatory integrated assessments

Siebenhüner, Bernd; Barth, Volker

doi:10.1016/j.eiar.2004.10.002

Cited by 52 publications

(49 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…On the other hand, the majority of studies on PM activities arrive at the conclusion that to be accepted and used by stakeholders, models employed in PM should be simple, robust, and easy to use (e.g., Horlitz 2006;Janssen et al 2008;Kok et al 2008;Siebenhüner and Barth 2007;Webler and Tuler 2006). Without attempting to discuss the controversial issue of complexity/simplicity of models any further, we can also mention that many authors observe a coupling between uncertainty and complexity (Hare 2011; Krysanova et al 2007;Van Asselt and Rotmans 2002;Volk et al 2010).…”

Section: Discussion: Challenges Of Pm In Research On Global Change Immentioning

confidence: 99%

Global change impacts on the Upper Danube Catchment (Central Europe): a study of participatory modeling

et al. 2015

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Participatory modeling (PM) has become an essential concept in environmental impact assessment and planning in the field of water resources. In this paper, we focus on the use of PM to support the development of the integrated regional modeling system DANUBIA as a scientific concept to analyze the previously unknown impacts of global change, i.e., the combined effects of climate, demographic, economic, social and ecological change, on the Upper Danube Catchment (Germany). We use this case study to examine the specific conditions for PM in the field of complex integrated models on a regional scale. We describe the stepwise PM process and discuss the respective results, focusing on (1) the stakeholder dialogue's contribution in supporting the development of new, complex modeling systems, particularly on a regional scale, (2) conditions of stakeholder involvement in issues related to the distant future, such as climate change impacts on regional water availability, and (3) limitations of PM and scientists' motivation to carry out participatory research at all. We conclude that the PM process was not entirely successful in improving the scientific quality and practical applicability of the developed models because the process goals were manifold and overambitious, and the definition of the problem of ''global change impacts on a regional scale'' was too weak and uncertain to allow for a clear common objective of modelers and stakeholders. We claim that there is a lack of incentives for scientists, particularly natural scientists, to commit to PM activities.

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Section: Discussion: Challenges Of Pm In Research On Global Change Immentioning

confidence: 99%

Global change impacts on the Upper Danube Catchment (Central Europe): a study of participatory modeling

et al. 2015

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“…Indeed, several recent initiatives are attempting to integrate qualitative knowledge forms that are dynamic within stakeholder and partner communities into the parameterisations, structure and outputs of formal quantitative models (e.g. Siebenhüner and Barth, 2005;TIA, 2007; the UEKC project: Lane et al, 2011;Odoni and Lane, 2010;Whatmore and Landstrom, 2011). As these studies argue,…”

Section: Comprehensibility and Communicationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Social science perspectives on natural hazards risk and uncertainty

Jackson¹

2013

Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards

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“…Although, as the case studies have demonstrated, it is argued that participatory GIS cannot be effective on its own, there is strong international support for the use of GIS as a complementary tool in public participation processes (González et al, 2008b). However, the apparent risk to the interests of developers, assessors or decision-makers influencing the filtering and representation of spatial information (Towers, 1997;Harrison and Haklay 2002;Siebenhüner and Barth, 2004) needs to be carefully addressed. Information manipulation was apparent in the Mayo CDP website, where fear of disclosure affected the comprehensiveness of the information conveyed to the public and, as a result, the scope and validity of public consultation.…”

Section: Optimising Framework Conditionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Applying geographic information systems to support strategic environmental assessment: Opportunities and limitations in the context of Irish land-use plans

González¹,

Gilmer²,

Foley

et al. 2011

Environmental Impact Assessment Review

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a b s t r a c t a r t i c l e i n f oThe strengthening of spatial database infrastructures, further promoted by the INSPIRE Directive adopted in 2007, has led to an increased use of spatial data in planning and decision-making. Given that land-use plans are intrinsically spatial, such evidence and approaches can significantly benefit plan-making. A spatial framework could especially support the specific Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) aspects of the plan-making process. Spatial tools such as Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are particularly well-placed to support the environmental integration sought in SEA by providing evidence through the spatial assessment of multiple environmental datasets. Moreover, GIS bring the opportunity to augment conventional assessment techniques (e.g. matrix-based assessments) by acting as visual mediators of spatial knowledge and by providing an effective tool for the spatial and temporal analysis of environmental impacts. This paper presents a GIS-based approach to SEA (GISEA), and analyses the above premise by evaluating the barriers, limitations, opportunities and benefits of its implementation. The GISEA approach has been applied to seven development plans of differing scales in the Republic of Ireland. The results of the case studies revealed that current issues in SEA (e.g. restricted time-frames and institutional arrangements) condition the implementation of a GIS-based approach. Moreover, GIS expertise, data accessibility and quality remain limiting factors to an effective GIS application in SEA. However, the results also confirmed that GIS have the potential to increase the objectivity and accuracy of the assessment, enhance both the understanding of environmental and planning considerations and the delivery of information, and, therefore, help to improve the effectiveness of SEA practice.

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The role of computer modelling in participatory integrated assessments

Cited by 52 publications

References 30 publications

Global change impacts on the Upper Danube Catchment (Central Europe): a study of participatory modeling

Global change impacts on the Upper Danube Catchment (Central Europe): a study of participatory modeling

Social science perspectives on natural hazards risk and uncertainty

Applying geographic information systems to support strategic environmental assessment: Opportunities and limitations in the context of Irish land-use plans

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