“…Instead, it has been proposed that a general ability to predict what will happen next in physical scenarios will require a more structured representation of the physical world that will support forward simulation ( Battaglia et al, 2013 ; Ullman et al, 2017 ). A parallel debate is raging in cognitive science ( Lerer et al, 2016 ; Conwell et al, 2019 ; Battaglia et al, 2013 ; Firestone and Scholl, 2017 ; Firestone and Scholl, 2016 ; Ludwin-Peery et al, 2019 ; Davis and Marcus, 2015 ; Chater and Oaksford, 2017 ; Davis et al, 2017 ; Ludwin-Peery et al, 2020 ), between those who argue that because human physical inferences occur rapidly ( Firestone and Scholl, 2017 ) and preattentively ( Firestone and Scholl, 2017 ) they are computed by something like a pattern recognition process, versus those who argue that human and primate physical inference behavior is best accounted for by mental simulation ( Battaglia et al, 2013 ; Ullman et al, 2017 ; Zhang et al, 2016 ; Gerstenberg et al, 2017 ; Rajalingham et al, 2021 ). Three lines of evidence from the present study indicate that pattern recognition alone – as instantiated in feedforward CNNs and the ventral visual pathway – is unlikely to explain physical inference in humans, at least for the case of physical stability.…”