The role of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration: a systematic map protocol

Moore, Eleanor; Howson, Peter; Grainger, Matthew; Teh, Yit Arn; Pfeifer, Marion

doi:10.1186/s13750-022-00276-w

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 49 publications

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“…However, research on land use scenario planning in West Africa has focused attention on ES provision potentials due to land use changes in agricultural and production landscapes 26,28,42 . There is less attempt of scenario applications in landscape restoration and for evaluating trade-offs in restoration outcomes 43 . Furthermore, few studies have applied participatory scenarios in the coastal and marine contexts to understand spatial changes in habitats and ES supply dynamics 44 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling the Impacts of Coastal Land Use Scenarios on Ecosystem Services Restoration in Southwest Ghana, West Africa

Kankam,

Koo,

Inkoom

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Urbanization is a key driver of coastal habitats degradation in West Africa. Habitat restoration is strongly advocated to mitigate urbanization impacts in West African coastal areas. However, knowledge on the application of scenarios to envision land use patterns and ecosystem services (ES) supply in this region is still lacking in scientific literature. In this study, we applied land use scenario modelling to provide recommendations for habitat restoration planning and associated ES supply in coastal socio-ecological systems. Specifically, four land use scenarios (Urbanization Scenario (UBS), Urban Greening Scenario (UGS), Plantation Agriculture Scenario (PLAS) and Landscape Restoration (LRS)) were developed for the coastal zone of Southwest Ghana. Their impacts on land use patterns and ES (food, fuelwood, carbon sequestration and recreation benefit) were assessed and visualized by integrating benefits transfer and experts’ knowledge into a spatially explicit modelling platform. The simulated results showed that UBS would decrease the supply of food, fuelwood, carbon sequestration and recreation benefits in the region. LRS would create negative synergies between food and carbon sequestration but this relationship reversed to positive synergies with future intensification of restoration. Our findings also showed that LRS could lead to expansion of mixed swamp forests, no change in the spatial extent of palm swamp forests and decline of mangrove swamps. On this basis, we recommend planning regulations which target swamp forests in the region for enhanced protection and restoration in order to safeguard these critical coastal habitats and avert their future degradation due to urbanization.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling the Impacts of Coastal Land Use Scenarios on Ecosystem Services Restoration in Southwest Ghana, West Africa

Kankam,

Koo,

Inkoom

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Inclusive Futures? A Systematic Review of Social Equity in Scenario Planning

Ayambire,

Moos

2024

Journal of Planning Education and Research

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Scenario planning is a valuable tool for dealing with uncertainty, but little is known about its consideration of social equity. We investigated if and how studies of scenario planning in the peer-reviewed literature address issues of social equity. After reviewing 157 peer-reviewed articles on scenario planning, we find that social equity is either ignored or underemphasized in scenario processes. Integrating social equity principles into the scenario planning method promises to help planners prepare for different social equity outcomes in the future. We suggest ways to incorporate social equity principles, such as recognition, representation, and redistribution, into the scenario planning method.

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Existing evidence on the use of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration: a systematic map

Durrant,

Howson,

Puttick

et al. 2023

Environ Evid

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Background and context The scale of land degradation worldwide has led to nearly one billion hectares committed to restoration globally. However, achieving such restoration targets will necessitate complex trade-offs against limited time, competing knowledge, costs, resources and varying stakeholder and societal preferences. Participatory scenarios allow a way to identify collaborative solutions for restoration planning and implementation best suited for the local cultures and societies they are tied to. They can be used to navigate uncertainties surrounding future trajectories of restored areas by evaluating trade-offs in outcomes. This research aims to systematically map the evidence on the use of participatory scenarios in restoration planning. We use the following research question: What evidence exists on the use of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration? This is answered by examining the characteristics of the evidence base, types of study design, types of outcomes, trade-offs in outcomes, and the role of participants. Methods A comprehensive and reproducible search strategy was followed using bibliographic databases, web-based searches, and targeted searching. Search results underwent a two-step screening process according to eligibility criteria. Metadata on key areas of interest were extracted from included texts and were narratively synthesised alongside data visualisations to answer the research questions. Review findings 18,612 records were initially identified, and 106 articles were included in the final map. Most studies were conducted in Europe and North America, focusing on restoring agricultural land or forests. Most texts used mixed methods and explored multiple outcome types, but environmental outcomes were the most assessed. Within environmental outcomes, indicators for ecological function were assessed more frequently than structural or compositional indicators. The most common reason for choosing outcomes and indicators was stakeholder interest. Trade-offs in social, ecological, and economic outcomes were mainly examined across space using mapping techniques, while far fewer studies looked at trade-offs across stakeholders and time. Participants were mostly included in the scenario creation step and were usually chosen purposefully by the research team. Conclusions It is difficult to understand how useful scenarios are for restoration planning because few texts reported how scenarios fed into the process. Despite this, the range of outcomes used and different method types adopted suggests participatory scenarios allow for integrating different knowledge and approaches, alongside facilitating the use of qualitative or semi-quantitative data when this is more appropriate or quantitative data is not widely available. To better use participatory scenarios as a tool for ecological restoration planning, decision-makers can push for greater levels and definitions of participation from the offset of restoration projects with specified, regular, and structured communication and participation channels. We also recommend more systematic methods of participant selection, such as stakeholder analysis. Further research is needed to understand the effectiveness of participatory scenarios in restoration planning and whether the participation of stakeholders was successful in meeting objectives. To improve the evidence base, future studies should clearly evaluate their effectiveness in the restoration planning process and their success in meeting their participatory objectives.

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The role of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration: a systematic map protocol

Cited by 4 publications

References 49 publications

Modeling the Impacts of Coastal Land Use Scenarios on Ecosystem Services Restoration in Southwest Ghana, West Africa

Modeling the Impacts of Coastal Land Use Scenarios on Ecosystem Services Restoration in Southwest Ghana, West Africa

Inclusive Futures? A Systematic Review of Social Equity in Scenario Planning

Existing evidence on the use of participatory scenarios in ecological restoration: a systematic map

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