The role of public policies in reducing smoking and deaths caused by smoking in Vietnam: Results from the Vietnam tobacco policy simulation model

Levy, David T.; Bales, Sarah; Lam, Nguyen Tuan; Nikolayev, Leonid

doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2005.08.043

Cited by 54 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…In a different line of work, Levy and colleagues have developed a computer simulation model called SimSmoke to assess the impacts of a broader array of public policies related to tobacco control: "SimSmoke is a system-based simulation model that assesses the impact of past tobacco control policies and generates predictions about the future effect of policies on smoking prevalence and premature mortality attributable to smoking" (Levy et al, 2006b, p. 62). Levy and colleagues have also modified this model to examine smoking-related policies in other countries, including Vietnam (Levy et al, 2006a).…”

Section: Problem Structuringmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demonstrating the utility of system dynamics for public policy analysis in New Zealand: the case of excise tax policy on tobacco

Cavana

Clifford²

2006

System Dynamics Review

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This paper summarises a system dynamics pilot study analysing the relationship of New Zealand Customs Service (NZCS) outputs to desired government outcomes, in relation to the collection of tobacco excise duties and cigarette smoking in New Zealand. The study was done to demonstrate the utility of system dynamics in answering some questions of a type common in the New Zealand public sector during policy development and review. Group model-building workshops addressed the organising question: "How does price influence the use and consequences of tobacco in New Zealand?" A prototype system dynamics simulation model using the ithink dynamic simulation software was developed, consisting of seven sectors: NZCS air and marine sector; duty-paid cigarette imports; duty-free cigarettes; New Zealand tobacco manufacturing sector; NZCS duty collection (from air passengers); New Zealand tobacco products market; and a health sector. The model simulates values of the model variables on an annual basis from 2000 to 2010. Policy experiments with the model include examining the effects of changes in excise duties. The model can be further developed to examine tobacco-related public policy issues in New Zealand and complement modelling done in other countries.

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Section: Problem Structuringmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demonstrating the utility of system dynamics for public policy analysis in New Zealand: the case of excise tax policy on tobacco

Cavana

Clifford²

2006

System Dynamics Review

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“…Tobacco use is a leading cause of death in Viet Nam. The number of annual deaths that is attributed to only three major tobacco-related diseases (lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and stroke) is greater than that of all of these combined: HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and traffic accidents (Mokdad et al, 2004;Levy et al, 2006;Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008). A simulation model developed for Viet Nam estimated that nearly 40,000 deaths were attributed to smoking in 2008 (Levy et al, 2006).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The number of annual deaths that is attributed to only three major tobacco-related diseases (lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and stroke) is greater than that of all of these combined: HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and traffic accidents (Mokdad et al, 2004;Levy et al, 2006;Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008). A simulation model developed for Viet Nam estimated that nearly 40,000 deaths were attributed to smoking in 2008 (Levy et al, 2006). A recent study estimated that smoking incurred more than 1.1 billion USD of healthcare cost and productivity cost in Viet Nam each year (Anh et al, 2014) In order to counter the tobacco epidemic, tobacco control policies are crucial.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Tobacco Control Policies in Vietnam: Review on MPOWER Implementation Progress and Challenges

Minh

Ngan

Quynh

et al. 2016

Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention

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“…Smoking is the main form of tobacco use and the prevalence of smoking among adults aged 15 years and over was 23.8%, with a higher percentage among males (47.4%) than females (1.4%) (Ministry of Health of Vietnam et al, 2010). Each year in Vietnam, there are 40,000 lives lost from tobacco related diseases, a figure set to rise above 50 000 deaths annually by 2023 (Levy et al, 2006). According to the Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS), carried out in 2007 in nine provinces/cities in Vietnam, the overall smoking prevalence amongst students aged 13-15 in Vietnam from 2007 was 3.3%, 5.9% among males and 1.2% among females (World Health Organization and Center for Disease Control, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Access to Anti-smoking Information among School Children and its Potential Impact on Preventing Smoking Initiation: Results from the Global Youth Tobacco Use Survey (GYTS) 2014 in Viet Nam

Minh

Giang²,

Hai³

et al. 2016

Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention

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Scientific evidence on all aspects of smoking amongst youth is very important for designing appropriate interventions to reduce smoking among this vulnerable population. This paper describes current access to antismoking information among school children aged 13 to 15 years in Vietnam in 2014 and examines its potential impact on preventing smoking initiation. The data used in this paper were obtained from the 2014 Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS) in Vietnam. Students were asked questions about their level of awareness of anti-smoking information from various sources in the past 30 days and about lessons in school regarding the dangers of tobacco use during the last 12 months. Those who have never smoked were asked "whether or not they thought about avoiding cigarettes because of health warnings on cigarette packages" and answers were analyzed in combination with data on access to anti-smoking information from other sources. The prevalence of exposure to antismoking campaigns was high among school children in Viet Nam: 55.3% of current smokers reported thoughts of smoking cessation because of health warnings on cigarette packages; 60.5% of never smokers avoided initiating smoking because of the same health warnings. The potential impact of graphic health warnings to prevent school-aged children from smoking initiation would be stronger if there was concurrent access to anti-smoking programs on the dangers of tobacco use in schools. However, school education for tobacco prevention and control has not been as strong as expected. A more comprehensive school curriculum on tobacco prevention and control is recommended to reinforce antismoking messages among school children.

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The role of public policies in reducing smoking and deaths caused by smoking in Vietnam: Results from the Vietnam tobacco policy simulation model

Cited by 54 publications

References 28 publications

Demonstrating the utility of system dynamics for public policy analysis in New Zealand: the case of excise tax policy on tobacco

Demonstrating the utility of system dynamics for public policy analysis in New Zealand: the case of excise tax policy on tobacco

Tobacco Control Policies in Vietnam: Review on MPOWER Implementation Progress and Challenges

Access to Anti-smoking Information among School Children and its Potential Impact on Preventing Smoking Initiation: Results from the Global Youth Tobacco Use Survey (GYTS) 2014 in Viet Nam

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