The salvo combat model with area fire

Abstract

This paper analyzes versions of the salvo model of missile combat where area fire is used by one or both sides in a battle. While these models share some properties with the area fire Lanchester model and the aimed fire salvo model, they also display some interesting differences, especially over the course of several salvos. Whereas the relative size of each force is important with aimed fire, with area fire it is the absolute size that matters. Similarly, while aimed fire exhibits square law behavior, area fire shows approximately linear behavior. When one side uses area and the other uses aimed fire, the model displays a mix of square and linear law behavior

Apples to apples, fighters to submarines: comparative analysis of conventional capability-based signalling capacity through technologically weighted state arsenal indexing

“…The archetype of these is the venerable Lanchester set of models, which -despite being re-validated by RAND as highly informative for engagement modelling -undercuts its feasibility by assuming large-scale engagements involving simultaneously firing masses of weapons (Lanchester 1916;Darilek et al 2001). Innovations in this tradition-modifying Lanchester's concepts for guided weapons and modern defences similarly attempt attritive results, rather than inherent comparative value for the systems themselves, attracting criticism for unwieldiness (Hughes 1995;Lucas and McGunnigle 2003;Armstrong 2013).…”