2015
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.1829
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The seesaw effect of winter temperature change on the recruitment of cotton bollworms Helicoverpa armigera through mismatched phenology

Abstract: Knowing how climate change affects the population dynamics of insect pests is critical for the future of integrated pest management. Rising winter temperatures from global warming can drive increases in outbreaks of some agricultural pests. In contrast, here we propose an alternative hypothesis that both extremely cold and warm winters can mismatch the timing between the eclosion of overwintering pests and the flowering of key host plants. As host plants normally need higher effective cumulative temperatures f… Show more

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Cited by 15 publications
(12 citation statements)
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“…, Reddy et al. ). Although our time series are generally not long enough to detect temporal changes in periodic behavior—such time series are rare in ecology—we gain insight into how global change can affect periodic insect outbreaks by separating cycles arising via density dependence from those driven or altered by environmental forcing.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…, Reddy et al. ). Although our time series are generally not long enough to detect temporal changes in periodic behavior—such time series are rare in ecology—we gain insight into how global change can affect periodic insect outbreaks by separating cycles arising via density dependence from those driven or altered by environmental forcing.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…High winter temperatures can affect and also influence the presence and outbreaks of insect pest (Reddy et al, 2015). Warmer winters can result to reduction in mortality rates of insect pests and this often leads to high infestations on crops thus increasing the damage and yield loss (Harrington et al, 2001).…”
Section: Impact Of Temperature On Insects and Diseasementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The African bollworm (Herlicoverpa amigera) is regarded as one of the major insect pest in agricultural production. This insect has the ability to overwinter due to increased temperatures in winter season (Reddy et al, 2015). The southern green stink bug (Nezara viridula): heteroptra: pentatomidae) showed a high survival rate in winter season due to increased warmer conditions (Musolin et al, 2009).…”
Section: Impact Of Temperature On Insects and Diseasementioning
confidence: 99%
“…implies that when the environment varies among years or changes directionally, e.g. in terms of a warming climate, the phenology of different species can be influenced to different extents, leading to changes in the relative timing of interacting species (Both et al 2009, Singer and Parmesan 2010, Thomson 2010, Gienapp et al 2014, Reddy et al 2015, Kharouba et al 2018. The effects of environmentally induced changes in synchrony on interaction intensities and trait preferences are likely to be most pronounced for species interactions that depend strongly on synchrony, e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%