2017
DOI: 10.3390/e19060244
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The Tale of Two Financial Crises: An Entropic Perspective

Abstract: This paper provides a comparative analysis of stock market dynamics of the 1987 and 2008 financial crises and discusses the extent to which risk management measures based on entropy can be successful in predicting aggregate market expectations. We find that the Tsallis entropy is more appropriate for the short and sudden market crash of 1987, while the approximate entropy is the dominant predictor of the prolonged, fundamental crisis of 2008. We conclude by suggesting the use of entropy as a market sentiment i… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(18 citation statements)
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“…Yang and Qiu [31] believed that the introduction of entropy can contribute to decision-making. Based on Tsallis [32], Gençay and Gradojevic [33,34] introduced and developed an entropic approach as a measure of market expectations, and their further research [35] showed the application of Tsallis entropy and approximate entropy in finance to be a good predictor of the financial crises in 1987 and 2008. Boyarchenko [36] used relative entropy to measure the implied amount of ambiguity investors face, based on Hansen and Sargent [37].…”
Section: The Diversified Use Of Entropymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yang and Qiu [31] believed that the introduction of entropy can contribute to decision-making. Based on Tsallis [32], Gençay and Gradojevic [33,34] introduced and developed an entropic approach as a measure of market expectations, and their further research [35] showed the application of Tsallis entropy and approximate entropy in finance to be a good predictor of the financial crises in 1987 and 2008. Boyarchenko [36] used relative entropy to measure the implied amount of ambiguity investors face, based on Hansen and Sargent [37].…”
Section: The Diversified Use Of Entropymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In our research, we adopt an enhanced time-dependent pattern entropy method introduced in [9] (see also [10,11]) that reduces variations to binary symbolic dynamics and considers the pattern of symbols in a sliding temporal window.…”
Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bentes and Menezes [31] used the concept of Tsallis entropy, which constitutes a possible generalization of the Boltzmann-Gibbs or Shannon entropy to investigate the volatility of seven indexes. It was also used in a comparative analysis of stock markets before the financial crisis in 1987 and 2008 [10]. A review of the application of entropy in finance can be found in [32][33][34].…”
Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Zhou et al [32] investigated the properties of six kinds of entropy based on risk measures and discovered that none of the risk measures satisfied the system's properties. Based on the 1987 and 2008 financial crises, Gençay and Gradojevic [33] provided a comparative analysis of stock market dynamics and successfuly predicted that aggregate market expectations use risk management measures based on entropy. Considering that large consumers needed to decide their energy procurement strategy, Gao et al [34] developed an electric energy procurement decision-making model and analyzed the entropy characteristic of the model.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%