The unintended effects from halting nuclear power production: Evidence from Fukushima Daiichi accident

Neidell, Matthew; Uchida, Shinsuke; Veronesi, Marcella

doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102507

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 29 publications

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“…While corroborating the previous findings, the slight increase found at lower intensities in categories such as cardiovascular symptoms in our study might potentially be explained by physiological changes due to cold temperature or other uncontrolled factors. Generally, colder temperatures are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality due to changes in blood viscosity and vasoconstriction [37]. The colder temperatures in our model are generally much warmer than the temperatures associated with cold risk in other studies.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 63%

Hourly Associations between Heat Index and Heat-Related Emergency Medical Service (EMS) Calls in Austin-Travis County, Texas

Seong,

Jiao,

Mandalapu

2023

IJERPH

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This paper aims to investigate the following research questions: (1) what are the hourly patterns of heat index and heat-related emergency medical service (EMS) incidents during summertime?; and (2) how do the lagged effects of heat intensity and hourly excess heat (HEH) vary by heat-related symptoms? Using the hourly weather and heat-related EMS call data in Austin-Travis County, Texas, this paper reveals the relationship between heat index patterns on an hourly basis and heat-related health issues and evaluates the immediate health effects of extreme heat events by utilizing a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). Delving into the heat index intensity and HEH, our findings suggest that higher heat intensity has immediate, short-term lagged effects on all causes of heat-related EMS incidents, including in cardiovascular, respiratory, neurological, and non-severe cases, while its relative risk (RR) varies by time. HEH also shows a short-term cumulative lagged effect within 5 h in all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-severe symptoms, while there are no statistically significant RRs found for respiratory and neurological cases in the short term. Our findings could be a reference for policymakers when devoting resources, developing extreme heat warning standards, and optimizing local EMS services, providing data-driven evidence for the effective deployment of ambulances.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 63%

Hourly Associations between Heat Index and Heat-Related Emergency Medical Service (EMS) Calls in Austin-Travis County, Texas

Seong,

Jiao,

Mandalapu

2023

IJERPH

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“…According to Neidell et al, perhaps as many as 4,500 additional people died from the cold because these nuclear plants were shut down. 39 In addition, He and Tanaka confirm a strong increase in mortality, but they focus on reduced use of air conditioning leading to heatstroke in the summer. 40 Of course, rising electricity prices have many other knock-on effects (eg through unemployment, which also increases mortality).…”

Section: Nuclear Energy: Fukushima and The Prevention Cyclementioning

confidence: 99%

The Prevention Cycle: State Investments in Preventing System Risks over Time

Voss¹

2023

Eur. j. risk regul.

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The policy drivers for preventing system risks – risks that threaten vital parts of society – represent an as-yet understudied subject. A fundamental characteristic of an effective prevention policy for system risks is long-term investment. This article presents evidence that long-term investment in prevention follows a cyclical rather than a stable pattern, which implies large costs to the welfare of future generations. This cycle is usually triggered by a shock that shifts the set of preventive policies that are acceptable to or even demanded by society. After a rapid rise in preventive investment, however, attention often wanes, and the downturn of the prevention cycle sets in. While policy shocks from crises and disasters are commonly studied, their policy legacies rarely have been. This article offers a theoretical framework for this “prevention cycle”, demonstrates its applicability in understanding policy investment in several system risks and offers suggestions for its fundamental causes.

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“…Our research is related to following studies: Jarvis et al ( 2022) adopt a machine learning approach to estimate the social cost of 2011 shutdown; Grossi et al (2018) show how an energy policy shock in Germany affects neighboring countries; Grossi et al (2017) emphasize the impact on prices based on a modified demand-supply framework; Ando (2015) applies the synthetic control method to estimate how the establishment of nuclear power facilities in Japan in the 1970s and 1980s affects local economy; Knopf et al (2014) examine the effect of nuclear phase-out on electricity price and CO2 emissions; Bruninx et al (2013) conduct a scenario analysis of 2011 shutdown with an electricity generation simulation model; Jacobs (2012) discusses the historical background of 2011 shutdown. Other related works include Goebel et al (2015), Davis and Hausman (2016), Deschenes et al (2017), Wheatley et al (2017) and Neidell et al (2021). Our research differs from existing studies by applying the synthetic control method and focusing on the environmental impact of 2011 nuclear shutdown.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental impact of 2011 Germany’s nuclear shutdown: a synthetic control study

Renuart,

2024

Applied Economics

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This paper contrasts the trajectory of Germany's nitrogen oxides, sulphur oxides, particulate matter 2.5, and carbon dioxide emissions with the trajectory of a datadriven weighted average of similar economies. The synthetic Germany is constructed to reveal the counterfactual of what would have happened to Germany's environment in the absence of shutting down eight nuclear reactors in 2011. We report a negative environmental impact. For instance, the energy-supply nitrogen oxides increased by 3.28% in Germany within five years of nuclear shutdown, whereas they dropped by 13.11% in synthetic Germany. The difference, 16.39%, is the estimated treatment effect of 2011 nuclear shutdown on energy-supply nitrogen oxides.

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The unintended effects from halting nuclear power production: Evidence from Fukushima Daiichi accident

Cited by 12 publications

References 29 publications

Hourly Associations between Heat Index and Heat-Related Emergency Medical Service (EMS) Calls in Austin-Travis County, Texas

Hourly Associations between Heat Index and Heat-Related Emergency Medical Service (EMS) Calls in Austin-Travis County, Texas

The Prevention Cycle: State Investments in Preventing System Risks over Time

Environmental impact of 2011 Germany’s nuclear shutdown: a synthetic control study

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