The use of fractional order statistics for estimating nonparametric confidence intervals for quantiles of the fatigue damage computed in service random loadings

Abstract

This paper deals with the statistical variability of fatigue damage in random loadings as caused by the inherent randomness of the loading. It examines the use of a nonparametric method based on fractional order statistics as a tool for constructing confidence intervals for the quantile of fatigue damage, regardless of the knowledge of the damage probability distribution. The approach here discussed relies on a statistical method existing in the literature. After a short review of this method, with also an emphasis on possible advantages and limitations, the paper presents a numerical benchmark, followed by a practical application to time-histories measured on a mountain-bike in off-road tracks. The paper concludes with some critical remarks and an outlook.