The use of multiple methods in the Joint Irregular Warfare Analytic Baseline (JIWAB) study

Wong, Yuna Huh; Bailey, Michael; Grattan, Karen; Stephens, Cortez; Sheldon, Robert S.; Inserra, William

doi:10.1177/1548512916680917

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…Papers illustrating or discussing some of the other relevant methods are included in the special issue of JDMS for which our paper was prepared. The other methods covered include agent-based modeling 59 ; fuzzy-logic modeling 50 ; mixed qualitative methods, such as narrative analysis, counterfactual analysis, system diagrams, and general morphological analysis (GMA) 60 ; cultural transmission 61 ; and social-network methods in nuclear proliferation analysis. 62 We noted earlier in the paper the importance of system dynamics methods, summarized in a textbook.…”

Section: Relationships With Other Modeling Methods Of Representing mentioning

confidence: 99%

Representing qualitative social science in computational models to aid reasoning under uncertainty: National security examples

Davis

O’Mahony

2016

Journal of Defense Modeling & Simulation

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Representing causal social science knowledge in models is difficult: much of the best knowledge is qualitative and ambiguously conditional, unlike the knowledge in “physics models.” This paper describes a stream of RAND research that began with qualitative models providing a structured depiction of casual factors creating effects. That has subsequently been extended to an unusual kind of uncertainty sensitive computational modeling that enables exploratory reasoning and analysis. We illustrate the approach with applications to counterterrorism, detection of terrorists, and nuclear crises. We believe that the approach will complement other approaches that can reflect social science phenomena [see other papers in this special issue of JDMS] and that the approach has broad potential within and beyond the national security domain. We also believe that it has the potential to inform empirical work—encouraging a transition from the step-by-step empirical testing of simple discrete hypotheses to the testing and refinement of more comprehensive causal models.

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Section: Relationships With Other Modeling Methods Of Representing mentioning

confidence: 99%

Representing qualitative social science in computational models to aid reasoning under uncertainty: National security examples

Davis

O’Mahony

2016

Journal of Defense Modeling & Simulation

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“…18 Proctor provides a general overview to modeling and simulation for counter-insurgency operations, 19 while a recent paper by Wong et al begin their modeling of counter-insurgency operations by including cultural issues. 20 For general missions, the military has also striven to apply modeling and simulation to the more difficult problems of social science. 21 Interestingly, cultural issues have been recently explored as a key element in modeling transmission of ideas on the dark web.…”

Section: Cross-cultural Trainingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Design and evaluation of an avatar-based cultural training system

Brown

Moenning

Guerlain

et al. 2018

Journal of Defense Modeling & Simulation

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The need for cultural training for members of the military, and supporting government and industrial organizations, has become more important because of the increasing expectations of effective collaborations between people of different cultures in order to achieve common security objectives. Additionally, the number and mix of countries, and cultural groups within those countries, make traditional classroom training less feasible. While good simulations have been built for cultural understanding, they have not been developed widely or used for pre-deployment training. This paper describes and evaluates an avatar-based game for pre-deployment training. The game is built around two scenarios from the Afghan culture: a market scenario, and a local leadership council scenario. The game also allows participants to reverse roles and play the part of an Afghan interacting with an American solider. To evaluate this avatar-based game, we developed an experimental design to test the effectiveness of the game versus commonly used video instruction, and to test the effectiveness of role reversals in training with games. Results show that participants trained with the avatarbased game had significantly improved understanding of Afghan culture (p < 0:01). However, role reversal did not improve performance. Additionally, responses to a questionnaire showed that participants in the avatar-based game had a much greater appreciation for their understanding of the Afghan culture than the more video-trained control group.

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An Analysis‐Centric View of Wargaming, Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis

Davis

2021

Simulation and Wargaming

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The use of multiple methods in the Joint Irregular Warfare Analytic Baseline (JIWAB) study

Cited by 3 publications

References 8 publications

Representing qualitative social science in computational models to aid reasoning under uncertainty: National security examples

Representing qualitative social science in computational models to aid reasoning under uncertainty: National security examples

Design and evaluation of an avatar-based cultural training system

An Analysis‐Centric View of Wargaming, Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis

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