Thermal environment and UV-B radiation indices in the Vojvodina region, Serbia

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica; Mihailoviĉ, Dragutin T.; Lalić, Branislava; Drešković, Nusret

doi:10.3354/cr01163

Cited by 14 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…In order to quantify the relationship between ERYand S, we performed a linear regression analysis between the relative daily erythemal UV dose (ERY/ERY 0 ) and relative daily sunshine duration (S/S 0 ). The UV reconstruction model used in this study is described in details in Malinovic et al (2006), MalinovicMilicevic and Mihailovic (2011) and Malinovic-Milicevic et al (2013) The NEOPLANTA parametric model computes the solar direct and diffuse UV irradiances on a horizontal surface under cloud free conditions for the wavelength range 280-400 nm with 1-nm resolution as well as the UVI. The effects of O 3 , SO 2 and NO 2 , aerosols and nine different ground surface types on the UV radiation are included.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model

Malinović-Milićević

Mihailoviĉ

Radovanović

2014

Theor Appl Climatol

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This paper focuses on the development and application of a technique for filling the daily erythemal UV dose data gaps and the reconstruction of the past daily erythemal UV doses in Novi Sad, Serbia. The technique implies developing the empirical equation for estimation of daily erythemal UV doses by means of relative daily sunshine duration under all sky conditions. A good agreement was found between modeled and measured values of erythemal UV doses. This technique was used for filling the short gaps in the erythemal UV dose measurement series (2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009) as well as for the reconstruction of the past time-series values . Statistically significant positive erythemal UV dose trend of 6.9 J m −2 per year was found during the period 1981-2009. In relation to the reference period 1981-1989, an increase in the erythemal UV dose of 6.92 % is visible in the period 1990-1999 and the increase of 9.67 % can be seen in the period 2000-2009. The strongest increase in erythemal UV doses has been found for winter and spring seasons.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model

Malinović-Milićević

Mihailoviĉ

Radovanović

2014

Theor Appl Climatol

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“…The study restricted the UVI values on those for which the human body requires sun protection (higher than 3, according to WHO (2002)) and the amount of cloudiness is 6 tenths and less and showed a strong correlation (0.815) and small absolute value of the difference of standard deviations in the simulations and the observations (0.102). The first proposed equation (1) developed by Malinović-Milićević (2012) is used for the reconstruction of UV-B doses for seven places in Vojvodina region for the period 1981−2008 (Malinovic-Milicevic, Mihailovic, Lalic, & Dreskovic, 2013) and for the projection of the UV-B doses for the period 2021-2100 (Malinovic-Milicevic, Mihailovic, Drešković, et al, 2015). The reliability of the formula for estimating of the proposed daily doses of UV-B radiation reaching the Earth's surface is proved by a very strong Pearson correlation (0.96) and a small difference between standard deviations (3.7%) between the calculated and measured values.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The importance of ground-based and satellite observations for monitoring and estimation of UV radiation in Novi Sad (Serbia)

Malinović-Milićević¹,

Mijatović²,

Arsenić³

et al. 2020

J GEOGR INST CVIJIC

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Solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation is a significant health hazard in the warm part of the year. In order to assess the level of hazard and the effects of UV radiation on the living world, long-term measured or estimated data are needed. In Novi Sad, the measurement of UV radiation has been performed since 2003, while ozone measurements have been made since 2007. However, those data sets are too short for assessing long-term biological effects. Therefore, several techniques for reconstruction of UV radiation doses have been developed. Reconstruction techniques are based on using available ground-based measurements of the meteorological data and satellite measurements of the total ozone column. It is shown that techniques that use ozone data show better performance than those that use only ground-based meteorological measurements. However, the difference between the performances of the methods is smaller when it comes to the monthly values, indicating that the techniques which use only ground-based meteorological measurements are roughly as good as the ozone-based techniques for assessing long-term changes in the surface UV radiation. The statistically significant increasing long term-trend of annual mean erythemal UV doses (ERY) and the decreasing trend in the total ozone column in Novi Sad since 1981 have been noticed. An increase in ERY has been noticed in all the seasons except in autumn and it is the highest in winter. The analysis showed that the increase in the ERY in the period 1981-1996 was mainly caused by the total ozone column, while the increase after 1996 is largely caused by cloudiness.

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“…We have used the model simulation to study the expected impact of climate change on UVR exposure of human skin for nine sites in VPS [PA (Palić), SO (Sombor), KI (Kikinda), NS (Novi Sad), BC (Bečej), ZR (Zrenjanin), SM (Sremska Mitrovica), BK (Bantaski Karlovac), and BG (Beograd)]. For calculating the daily doses of UVR (UVRD) in the study area sites, we have used the following empirical formula UVRD = 0.002507×G d −5.985 (kJ/ m2) derived by Malinović-Milićević et al [29], where G d is the daily sum of global solar radiation. First, we calculated UVRD from global radiation model outputs using the empirical formula for the nine sites for the period April-September, and then we found the relative change R(UVRD) of those doses as R(UVRD) = (UVRD-UVRD k )/ UVRD k where UVRD k is the dose for 1961-1990 reference period, while the UVRD is calculated for the period 2001-2030.…”

Section: Environmental Samplingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment of climate change impact on the malaria vector Anopheles hyrcanus, West Nile disease, and incidence of melanoma in the Vojvodina Province (Serbia) using data from a regional climate model

Mihailoviĉ

Petrić

Hrnjakovic-Cvjetkovic

et al. 2020

PLoS ONE

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Motivated by the One Health paradigm, we found the expected changes in temperature and UV radiation (UVR) to be a common trigger for enhancing the risk that viruses, vectors, and diseases pose to human and animal health. We compared data from the mosquito field collections and medical studies with regional climate model projections to examine the impact of climate change on the spreading of one malaria vector, the circulation of West Nile virus (WNV), and the incidence of melanoma. We analysed data obtained from ten selected years of standardised mosquito vector sampling with 219 unique location-year combinations, and 10 years of melanoma incidence. Trends in the observed data were compared to the climatic variables obtained by the coupled regional Eta Belgrade University and Princeton Ocean Model for the period 1961-2015 using the A1B scenario, and the expected changes up to 2030 were presented. Spreading and relative abundance of Anopheles hyrcanus was positively correlated with the trend of the mean annual temperature. We anticipated a nearly twofold increase in the number of invaded sites up to 2030. The frequency of WNV detections in Culex pipiens was significantly correlated to overwintering temperature averages and seasonal relative humidity at the sampling sites. Regression model projects a twofold increase in the incidence of WNV positive Cx. pipiens for a rise of 0.5˚C in overwintering T October-April temperatures. The projected increase of 56% in the number of days with T max � 30˚C (Hot Days-HD) and UVR doses (up to 1.2%) corresponds to an increasing trend in melanoma incidence. Simulations of the Pannonian countries climate anticipate warmer and drier conditions with possible dominance of temperature and number of HD

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Thermal environment and UV-B radiation indices in the Vojvodina region, Serbia

Cited by 14 publications

References 40 publications

Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model

Reconstruction of the erythemal UV radiation data in Novi Sad (Serbia) using the NEOPLANTA parametric model

The importance of ground-based and satellite observations for monitoring and estimation of UV radiation in Novi Sad (Serbia)

Assessment of climate change impact on the malaria vector Anopheles hyrcanus, West Nile disease, and incidence of melanoma in the Vojvodina Province (Serbia) using data from a regional climate model

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