2011
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9923-4
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Thermal hazards zonation and permafrost change over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Abstract: The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is the largest permafrost region at low latitude in the world. Climate warming may lead to permafrost temperature rise, ground ice thawing and permafrost degradation, thus inducing thermal hazards. In this paper, the ARCGIS method is used to calculate the changes of ground ice content and active layer thickness under different climate scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, in the coming decades, thus providing the basis for hazards zonation. The method proposed by Nelson in 2002 was … Show more

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Cited by 52 publications
(32 citation statements)
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“…Permafrost degradation is also linked to shrinking wetlands, release of soil carbon, desertification, worsening of ecological environment, and increased incidence of natural hazard Hinzman et al, 2005;Jin et al, 2009;Z. Yang et al, 2010;Zhang and Wu, 2012;Hayes et al, 2014].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Permafrost degradation is also linked to shrinking wetlands, release of soil carbon, desertification, worsening of ecological environment, and increased incidence of natural hazard Hinzman et al, 2005;Jin et al, 2009;Z. Yang et al, 2010;Zhang and Wu, 2012;Hayes et al, 2014].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The monitoring results show that the cryosphere in China is experiencing predominant changes [35] and permafrost degradation, which lead to environmental problems [9,36]. Permafrost degradation and spatial as well as temporal change in permafrost temperature and ALT under the scenario of climate change have a predominant trend and result in thermal hazards [37][38][39][40][41]. The lower limit's northern boundary of permafrost distribution is seriously degraded in QXP [42] and the permafrost thickness greatly decreased [43,44].…”
Section: Permafrost Changementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The main characteristics of elevational permafrost on the QTP have been categorized within a three‐dimensional zonation; furthermore, a Gaussian distribution of the lower limits of permafrost has been formulated . These investigations and the empirical relationships between permafrost temperatures and elevation, primarily along the Qinghai–Tibet Engineering Corridor, have provided the basis for permafrost mapping and modeling on the QTP, although these models are generally coarse but still of high reliability at various scales . However, there have been few investigations of permafrost on other parts of the plateau, such as the north‐eastern QTP, which is thermally unstable due to its location at the fringes of predominantly continuous permafrost regions .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…24 These investigations and the empirical relationships between permafrost temperatures and elevation, primarily along the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor, have provided the basis for permafrost mapping and modeling on the QTP, although these models are generally coarse but still of high reliability at various scales. [25][26][27][28] However, there have been few investigations of permafrost on other parts of the plateau, such as the north-eastern QTP, which is thermally unstable due to its location at the fringes of predominantly continuous permafrost regions. 29,30 The few investigations on periglacial environments and geomorphology 8,31 are insufficient to characterize the permafrost distribution and dynamics in this monsoonal climate region.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%