Thinking Effects. Effects-Based Methodology for Joint Operations

Mann, Edward C.; Endersby, Gary; Searle, Thomas R.

doi:10.21236/ada408452

Cited by 25 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…Operational objectives can be achieved by reaching one or more effects by execute multiple tasks. Figure 5 -The objectives, effects and tasks analysis 6 The results from task decomposition process can be used for updating the universal task lists of defence forces.…”

Section: Methods Of Determination Of Defence Capability Requirementsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Determination of defence capability requirements

Stojković¹,

Kankaraš²,

Mitic³

2016

Vojno delo

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capability-based planning approach provides defence system with adequate response in facing uncertainty, economic constraints and risks. Determination of required defence capabilities is the most important and complex phase in capability-based planning process. The result of this phase is the list of required capabilities of the defence system. The paper presents method of determination of defence capability requirements and describes practical tools for the identification and the description of required defence capabilities. The capability requirements are identified by perceiving relationships among operational objectives, effects tasks. The capability requirement description contains standards and conditions that clarify necessary capability.

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Section: Methods Of Determination Of Defence Capability Requirementsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Dual nature of the effects is shown on Figure 4. [6] Figure 4 -Dual nature of effect (adopted from [6] According to Paul Davis, there are physical and behavioural effects. Physical effects may include: equipment or systems damaging, processes disrupting and people killing.…”

Section: Measure Of Desired Outcomesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determination of defence capability requirements

Stojković¹,

Kankaraš²,

Mitic³

2016

Vojno delo

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“…For the purpose of this paper, Effects-based operations (EBO) will be defined as actions taken against enemy systems designed to achieve specific effects that contribute directly to desired outcomes [10]. Further, in a methodological form EBO may be defined as a methodology for planning, executing, and assessing operations to attain desired strategic effects that contribute directly to military and political objectives by shaping the behavior of friends, foes, and neutrals in peace, crisis, and war [5,7,10,12,13]. …”

Section: Effects Based Operationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The cold-war era was black-andwhite, where the United States had a clear picture of who were allies, adversaries, and neutrals [5]. Over the years, intelligence analysts had developed high fidelity models of enemy doctrine, capabilities, and even socio-cultural axioms.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Supporting Effects-Based Operations (EBO) with Information Technology Tools: Examining Underlying Assumptions of EBO Tool Development Practices

Triscari¹,

Wales²

2005

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REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGEForm Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing this collection of information. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute 110 8th Street Troy New York 12180 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBERN/A SPONSORING / MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES)Air This effort examined, from both theoretical and empirical perspectives, major paradigms underlying the support of strategic decision processes in hyper-competitive environments. The primary research objectives were to (1) to develop a theoretic schema of approaches to strategic decision support, and (2) to provide an empirical research plan and detailed experimental design to assess the efficacy of the different paradigms. This final report identifies four major paradigms or "schools of thought" of strategic decision support: autonomous, directive, predictive, and emergent. The proposed paradigms are offered to illustrate how recent EBO tool development approaches may be classified and subsequently characterized based upon their inherent gravitation to a particular decision support paradigm. NUMBER OF PAGES AbstractThroughout the course of history, great leaps in progress and understanding have been facilitated through the questioning of basic assumptions. In an effort to uncover critical opportunities and vulnerabilities within effect-based operations (EBO), similar questions must be posed to our current assumptions underlying EBO tool development practices. Required for these assumptions to be examined is a shared understanding of strategy formulation as an intensely human process. The breadth of approaches used in recent years to help commanders formulate effects-based courses of action (CoA) is quite diverse including expert systems, Bayesian networks, and scenario analysis. All of these approaches represent best guess assumptions of how to codify aspects of the strategy development process, often with out regard for the principles of automation. The adverse unintended consequences made possible from this neglect are wide ranging, including the potential to inadvertently foster convergent vs. divergent thinking, conditioning commanders and policy makers to accept a dangerously limited view as an accurate model of "real world" threats. Imperative to avoiding this conceivable eventuality is a strategic perspective on EBO tool development practices. Identified in this paper are four major paradigms or "schools of thought" of strategic decision support: autonomous, directive, predictive, and emergent. The proposed paradigms are offered to illustrate how recent EBO tool development approaches may be classified and subsequently characterized based upon their inherent gravitation to a particular decision support paradigm.ii

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“…EBOs represent those actions taken against enemy systems designed to achieve specific effects that contribute directly to desired military and political outcomes [35]. A different and broader 0020-0255/$ -see front matter Ó 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%