The problem of detecting changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic system and time series arises in various branches of science and engineering. It has a wide spectrum of important applications ranging from machine monitoring to biomedical signal processing. In all of these applications the observations being monitored undergo a change in distribution in response to a change or anomaly in the environment, and the goal is to detect the change as quickly as possibly, subject to false alarm constraints.In this chapter, two formulations of the quickest change detection problem, Bayesian and minimax, are introduced, and optimal or asymptotically optimal solutions to these formulations are discussed. Then some generalizations and extensions of the quickest change detection problem are described. The chapter is concluded with a discussion of applications and open issues.
I. INTRODUCTIONThe problem of quickest change detection comprises three entities: a stochastic process under observation, a change point at which the statistical properties of the process undergo a change, and a decision maker that observes the stochastic process and aims to detect this change in the statistical properties of the process. A false alarm event happens when the change is declared by the decision maker before the change actually occurs. The general objective of the theory of quickest change detection is to design algorithms that can be used to detect the change as soon as possible, subject to false alarm constraints.The quickest change detection problem has a wide range of important applications, including biomedical signal and image processing, quality control engineering, financial markets, link failure detection in communication networks, intrusion detection in computer networks and security systems, chemical or biological warfare agent detection systems (as a protection tool against terrorist attacks), detection of the onset of an epidemic, failure detection in manufacturing systems and large machines, target detection