2022
DOI: 10.1007/s40122-022-00422-9
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Time Trends in the Incidence of Spinal Pain in China, 1990 to 2019 and Its Prediction to 2030: The Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Abstract: Background: With increasing life expectancy in China, the associated burden of low back and neck pain (spinal pain) on the healthcare system increases, posing a substantial public health challenge. This study aimed to investigate trends in spinal pain incidence across China from 1990 to 2019 and to predict incidence trends between 2020 and 2030. Methods: Data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) between 1… Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(19 citation statements)
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“…It evidently eased the burden of collecting water with the potential to also reduce back pain prevalence and associated disability [ 20 ]. Furthermore, developments in athletics facilities coverage, increased health awareness, and improved public health initiatives in LBP and associated risk factors prevention have also contributed to the decline [ 21 ]. The decrease in ASYR for LBP due to occupational ergonomic factors was the main component of the decline in China.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It evidently eased the burden of collecting water with the potential to also reduce back pain prevalence and associated disability [ 20 ]. Furthermore, developments in athletics facilities coverage, increased health awareness, and improved public health initiatives in LBP and associated risk factors prevention have also contributed to the decline [ 21 ]. The decrease in ASYR for LBP due to occupational ergonomic factors was the main component of the decline in China.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are some possible reasons for it. Firstly, China has the largest elderly population and is accelerating into an ageing society, 39 which could lead to an increase in prevalence over the next decade. Secondly, risk factors for cataracts include myopia, hypertension, obesity, diabetes mellitus and environmental pollution, which are now common in China and may be responsible for the increased prevalence of cataract.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The hypothesis test was implemented to determine whether the AAPC significantly deviated from zero. AAPC > 0 means an increasing trend, while AAPC< 0 means a decreasing trend during the segment ( 25 ). Joinpoint 5.0 software provided by the National Cancer Institute was utilized for this analysis.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%