Towards adaptation of agriculture to climate change in the Mediterranean

Iglesias, Ana; Mougou, R.; Moneo, Marta; Quiroga, Sonia

doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0187-4

Cited by 138 publications

(102 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…South Asia (Lal 2010;Mirza 2010), Sahelian and northern Africa (Sissoko et al 2010), Ben Mohamed (2010), Mougou et al (2010), Iglesias et al (2010) and parts of Russia (Dronin and Kirilenko 2010) by the time global mean warming reaches around 2°C above preindustrial. Lal (2010) shows that India needs to increase its production by 1.5% per year to feed its developing and growing population, faster than historical experience, but faces likely net cereal production losses in South Asia due to climate change of 4-10% for a 2°C warming.…”

Section: Food Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In contrast to European Mediterranean countries that are expected to be able to cope with drought trends in the larger context of EU agricultural policy (Bindi and Olesen 2010), Iglesias et al (2010) lay bare the very low adaptive capacity of African Mediterranean countries that will be confronted with increased drought and associated yield reductions. In the Sahel region, Sissoko et al (2010) explain how existing coping strategies may break down under the pressures of future development in the context of yield decreases, confirmed by Ben Mohamed (2010), who report a projected loss in yields of millet, a major staple crop in the region, of 20% around 2°C warming, rising to 40% at about 3°C.…”

Section: Food Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming

et al. 2011

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Defining and operationalizing Article 2 of the UNFCCC remains a challenge. The question of what is dangerous climate change is not a purely scientific one, as danger necessarily has a subjective dimension and its definition requires judgment and precaution. The papers in this special issue of Regional Environmental Change attempt to navigate this problem, by offering an overview of the latest scientific findings in the context of risks and uncertainties, and assess some key vulnerabilities that might lead to dangerous climate change. This synthesis provides an overview of the papers in this issue and looks at four areas of possible dangerous climate changeadverse declines in regional food and water security, loss of arctic sea ice with projected extinction of species, largescale sea-level rise and loss of coral reef systems. These issues affect a number of different regions including Africa, South Asia, and Small Island Developing States. Significant risks to vulnerable regions and systems at warming levels of 1.5-2°C above pre-industrial are identified. The direct effects of CO 2 concentration increases in terms of ocean acidification are identified as relevant to Article 2 because of the risks posed to coral reefs. Ultimate CO 2 stabilization levels that allow for the long-term viability of coral reefs likely are below 350 ppm. The paper concludes by arguing that the emission reduction pledges made by countries under the Copenhagen Accord will not suffice to prevent dangerous climate change.

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Section: Food Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Food Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming

et al. 2011

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“…A large productivity reduction in crops is expected in the Mediterranean because of a reduction in water availability (Iglesias et al 2011). There is extensive literature on impacts of climate change on agriculture and potential adaptation measures.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A model-based assessment of adaptation options for Chianti wine production in Tuscany (Italy) under climate change

et al. 2014

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This paper covers a comprehensive economic analysis of climate change adaptation options for a specific wine producing region, namely Tuscany. As temperature increases under climate change, rainfall patterns will be different, and Chianti wine production in Tuscany therefore needs to adapt in the near future. We address the adaptation challenges and identify grape yield and quality loss as the main impact of climate change on wine production. Relocation of vineyards uphill and introducing drought-resistant varieties are considered as adaptation measures. We appraise these adaptation measures using an optimization framework, where regional wine producers maximize income subject to economic constraints including the climate change impacts on wine productivity and quality. Our simulation shows quantitatively to what extent a higher degree of climate change impact demands a higher degree of adaptation. We find that a combination of the two measures provides a better strategy because it leads to higher economic efficiency. However, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of the new variety discourages the use of this new drought-resistant variety, whereas a higher efficiency would make this choice more favourable. Sensitivity analysis for time horizon and discount rate confirms the theory of investment under uncertainty, showing a shorter time horizon (or more frequent investment) provides the possibility to postpone the decision to implement adaptation measures due to the value of flexibility, while a higher discount rate leads to a later adaptation decision, because uncertainty creates a value of waiting for new information.

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“…In this sense, adaptive capacity is the combination of a number of social and economic components (Smit and Wander, 2005;Yohe et al, 2006;Iglesias et al, 2010a;IPCC, 2007). A number of indices of adaptive capacity have been developed (Yohe and Tol, 2002;Ionescu et al, 2009;Yohe et al, 2006;Iglesias et al, 2007c) to capture different elements of social and economic vulnerability to climate change.…”

Section: Adaptive Capacitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Impactos y capacidad de adaptación como factores determinantes para priorizar la adaptación agrícola al cambio climático en Europa

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et al. 2011

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ABSTRACT:In the face of likely climate change impacts policy makers at different spatial scales need access to assessment tools that enable informed policy instruments to be designed. Recent scientific advances have facilitated the development of improved climate projections, but it remains to be seen whether these are translated into effective adaptation strategies. This paper uses existing databases on climate impacts on European agriculture and combines them with an assessment of adaptive capacity to develop an interdisciplinary approach for prioritising policies. It proposes a method for identifying relevant policies for different EU countries that are representative of various agroclimatic zones. Our analysis presents a framework for integrating current knowledge of future climate impacts with an understanding of the underlying socio-economic, agricultural and environmental traits that determine a region's capacity for adapting to climate change. KEYWORDS:Adaptation, adaptive capacity, agriculture, climate change. JEL classification: Q18, Q54.Impactos y capacidad de adaptación como factores determinantes para priorizar la adaptación agrícola al cambio climático en Europa RESUMEN: A la hora de afrontar los potenciales impactos del cambio climático, las administraciones encargadas de la toma de decisiones a cualquier escala territorial deben disponer de herramientas de evaluación que permitan el diseño de políticas relevantes. Los últimos avances científicos han permitido el desarrollo de mejores proyecciones climáticas, pero aún está por ver si éstas se acaban traduciendo en estrategias de adaptación efectivas. En el presente trabajo se utilizan bases de datos existentes sobre impactos climáticos en la agricultura europea y se combinan con una evaluación de la capacidad de adaptación para desarrollar un enfoque interdisciplinar para la priorización de políticas. Asimismo, se propone una metodología para la identificación de políticas relevantes para diferentes países de la Unión Europea representativos de distintas zonas agroclimáticas. Nuestro análisis presenta un marco que permite hacer uso de los conocimientos actuales acerca de los futuros impactos del cambio climático teniendo en consideración los factores socio-económicos, agrícolas, y medioambientales subyacentes que determinan la capacidad de una región de adaptarse al cambio climático.PALABRAS CLAVES: Adaptación, capacidad de adaptación, agricultura, cambio climático.Clasificación JEL: Q18, Q54.

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Towards adaptation of agriculture to climate change in the Mediterranean

Cited by 138 publications

References 23 publications

Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming

Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming

A model-based assessment of adaptation options for Chianti wine production in Tuscany (Italy) under climate change

Impactos y capacidad de adaptación como factores determinantes para priorizar la adaptación agrícola al cambio climático en Europa

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