Transition towards a 100% Renewable Energy System and the Role of Storage Technologies: A Case Study of Iran

Ghorbani, Narges; Aghahosseini, Arman; Breyer, Christian

doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.09.484

Cited by 47 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Saudi Arabia is a representative country for latitudes of less than 40° and good wind conditions, such as Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, Iran, South Africa, parts of Chile and Australia. Comparable results have been already published for Iran . More results on Saudi Arabia are available elsewhere, in particular, including effects of power grid interconnection to neighbours and the role of seawater desalination on the energy transition …”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 65%

“…Hence, no major distortion of the obtained results can be expected. A slower energy system transition may most likely induce higher total energy system cost, as indicated by respective research results for the case of Iran . Theoretically, other available energy system options, such as fossil‐CCS and nuclear energy cannot compete on that cost level at all, since their individual LCOEs are around 100 €/MWh and higher .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

Breyer

Bogdanov

Aghahosseini

et al. 2017

Progress in Photovoltaics

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166

181

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The power sector is faced with strict requirements in reducing harmful emissions and substantially increasing the level of sustainability. Renewable energy (RE) in general and solar photovoltaic (PV) in particular can offer societally beneficial solutions. The LUT energy system transition model is used to simulate a cost-optimised transition pathway towards 100% RE in the power sector by 2050. The model is based on hourly resolution for an entire year, the world structured in 145 regions, high spatial resolution of the input RE resource data, and transition steps of 5-year periods. The global average solar PV electricity generation contribution is found to be about 69% in 2050, the highest ever reported. Detailed energy transition results are presented for representative countries in the world, namely, Poland, Britain and Ireland, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Ethiopia, and Indonesia. The global average energy system levelised cost of electricity gradually declines from 70 €/MWh in 2015 to 52 €/MWh in 2050 throughout the transition period, while deep decarbonisation of more than 95% around 2040, referenced to 2015, would be possible.The targets of the Paris Agreement can be well achieved in the power sector, while increasing societal welfare, given strong policy leadership.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 65%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

Breyer

Bogdanov

Aghahosseini

et al. 2017

Progress in Photovoltaics

Self Cite

166

181

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…An analysis of three different scenarios was conducted for the region and it was found that a 100% RE system was cheaper than a business-as-usual scenario. Similar analyses for different 100% RE scenarios were conducted for individual countries in the region, in particular for Saudi Arabia [86], Turkey [91], Israel [92] and Iran [87,[93][94][95]; all with a comparable conclusion that a 100% RE system is technically feasible and economically viable. It is not only similar to results from the MENA region, but also similar to research done for comparable sun-rich countries in the world, such as Chile [96].…”

Section: Energy Transitionmentioning

confidence: 80%

“…The transition towards a fully sustainable energy system for Jordan needs additional studies, which subdivides the country into several nodes based on population distribution and determines the local energy demands, the ability to meet these demands, while minimising the need for transmission lines. Such a valuable improvement in the insights on a national energy transition has been shown for the case of Iran with a first analysis for the country in one node [94] and a second in-depth research in a multi-node resolution [93]. It is also suggested to carry out a comparison of different scenarios to see their relative impact on energy security.…”

Section: Limitations and Recommendations For Future Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy Security Analysis for a 100% Renewable Energy Transition in Jordan by 2050

et al. 2020

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Energy security analysis is a strong tool for policy makers. It allows them to formulate policies that would enhance energy systems by targeting necessary actions. In this study, the impacts of transitioning from a fossil fuels to a renewables dominated energy system on energy security is analysed for Jordan. A Best Policy Scenario was developed for the Jordanian energy system to trace the transition to a 100% renewable energy system. Energy security was analysed for the future system by a qualitative approach utilising colour codes. The results reveal that the primary energy demand increases from 64 TWh in 2015 to 130 TWh in 2050, dominated by electricity and followed by heat and bioenergy. This indicates that a high level of direct and indirect electrification is the key to transition towards a fully sustainable energy system. Renewable electricity generation is projected to increase from 0.1 TWh in 2015 to 110.7 TWh in 2050, with a solar photovoltaic share of 92%. The levelised cost of energy develops from 78 €/MWh in 2015 to 61 €/MWh in 2050. In 2050, this system will have zero greenhouse gas emissions, it will provide plenty of job opportunities and revenue generation. This proposed transition will enhance the energy security level of the Jordanian energy system in five of the six dimensions studied. The five dimensions that will be improved are availability, cost, environment, health, and employment, whereas the dimension on diversity will stay neutral. It can be concluded that Jordan can achieve a 100% renewable energy system by 2050 and such a transition will enhance the energy security level.

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“…On the other hand, the learning curve of wind is not so sharp, i.e., the share of PV is expected to grow year by year. Such an effect had been found for instance for the case of Ukraine [80], Saudi Arabia [81], Iran [82] and India [83]. In addition, the installation of small and utility-scale PV plants is already profitable in several countries and PV electricity generation cost is forecasted to further decrease [84].…”

Section: Interpretation Of Findingsmentioning

confidence: 98%

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

2017

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Abstract:In this study power generation and demand are matched through a least-cost mix of renewable energy (RE) resources and storage technologies for North America by 2030. The study is performed using an hourly resolved model based on a linear optimization algorithm. The geographical, technical and economic potentials of different forms of RE resources enable the option of building a super grid between different North American regions. North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico in this paper), is divided into 20 sub-regions based on their population, demand, area and electricity grid structure. Four scenarios have been evaluated: region-wide, country-wide, area-wide and an integrated scenario. The levelised cost of electricity is found to be quite attractive in such a system, with the range from 63 €/MWh el in a decentralized case and 42 €/MWh el in a more centralized and integrated scenario. Electrical grid interconnections significantly reduce the storage requirement and overall cost of the energy system. Among all RE resources, wind and solar PV are found to be the least-cost options and hence the main contributors to fossil fuel substitution. The results clearly show that a 100% RE-based system is feasible and a real policy option at a modest cost. However, such a tremendous transition will not be possible in a short time if policy-makers, energy investors and other relevant organizations do not support the proposed system.

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Transition towards a 100% Renewable Energy System and the Role of Storage Technologies: A Case Study of Iran

Cited by 47 publications

References 17 publications

Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

Solar photovoltaics demand for the global energy transition in the power sector

Energy Security Analysis for a 100% Renewable Energy Transition in Jordan by 2050

A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

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