Background: The impact of number of node metastases versus metastatic lymph node ratio versus AJCC node category on biochemical cure in medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) is not well defined.
Methods: Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine clinical and histopathological variables that contribute to biochemical cure in node-positive MTC.Results: Some 584 of 1026 patients with MTC underwent systematic lymph node dissections for node-positive disease; 27⋅4 per cent (54 of 197) were biochemically cured after the initial operation and 13⋅5 per cent (42 of 310 patients) after repeat surgery. Cured patients had significantly less extrathyroid extension (11-14 versus 33⋅2-55⋅6 per cent), fewer lymph node metastases (median 2-4 versus 12-16), a lower metastatic lymph node ratio (median 0⋅05-0⋅08 versus 0⋅23-0⋅28), and were less likely to have AJCC pN1b disease (56-76 versus 89⋅9-91⋅6 per cent) and distant metastases (0 versus 28⋅4-37⋅1 per cent) than patients who were not cured. Biochemical cure curves advanced steadily up to 7-12 node metastases and a metastatic lymph node ratio of 0⋅33, eventually levelling off after 16-17 node metastases and metastatic lymph node ratios of 0⋅45-0⋅65. In logistic regression analysis, number of lymph node metastases (odds ratio (OR) 17⋅24 for more than 20 metastases, OR 5⋅28 for 11-20 metastases, OR 2⋅22 for 6-10 metastases), preoperative basal serum calcitonin (OR 6⋅24 for over 1000 pg/ml), reoperation (OR 5⋅34) and extrathyroid extension (OR 2⋅42) independently predicted failure to reach biochemical cure.Conclusion: Number of lymph node metastases, unlike metastatic lymph node ratio or AJCC node category, determines likelihood of biochemical cure after initial and repeat surgery for node-positive MTC.