Background
Response remains an important endpoint in clinical cancer trials. However, the prognostic utility of best tumor response in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) remains vague.
Objective
To define the prognostic relevance of the depth of remission in mRCC
Design, setting, and participants
Pooled data of 2,749 patients from phase II and III clinical trials of the Pfizer data-base in mRCC was analyzed. Tumor-shrinkage was categorized by fractions of best percent change in the sum of the largest diameter of target lesions. Outcome was computed by Kaplan-Meier curves and correlation was assessed by Cox regression, including a 6-month landmark.
Intervention
Sunitinib, sorafenib, axitinib, temsirolimus, temsirolimus and/or IFN-α.
Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis
Categorized tumor-shrinkage, overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS).
Results and limitations
Major tumor shrinkage of 60% or more occurred in about 10% of patients and was associated with a median overall survival (OS) of 54.5 months. With depth of remission, OS expectations declined steadily (26.4, 16.6, 10.4, and 7.3 months). The association was maintained when stratified by type of therapy, line of therapy, and performance status. The 6-month landmark Cox proportional regression analyses confirmed the prognostic relevance of major tumor shrinkage (HR 0.29; CI 95% 0.22–0.39; p<0.001). The major limitation of our study is the variability of imaging intervals among studies.
Conclusions
This is the first and largest analysis of best tumor response in mRCC. We demonstrate that depth of remission is an independent prognostic factor in mRCC.
Patient summary
It remains unknown whether tumor shrinkage during therapy is needed to achieve clinical activity in mRCC. Our analysis shows that the magnitude of tumor shrinkage correlates with a better survival in patients. This observation may be used as a clinical research tool in future trials.
Trial registration
NCT00054886, NCT00077974, NCT00267748, NCT00338884, NCT00137423, NCT00083889, NCT00065468, NCT00678392