Turkey-European Union (EU) Relations after the July 15 Coup Attempt within the Framework of the Random Walk Model

Abstract

This study examines Turkey-EU Relations after the coup attempt in Turkey on July 15, 2016. The study was conducted using one of the decision-making models, the Random Walk Model. The study claims that the rhetoric of EU and Turkish decision-makers against each other after the July 15 coup attempt was made by zigzagging like a drunk walking on the pavement. Good rhetoric by EU decision-makers to Turkey will be shown by stepping to the right, and bad rhetoric will be shown by stepping to the left. The steps taken to the right will be evaluated as A, and the steps to the left will be evaluated as B. Then, inference will be made on how the relations will continue and how the relations will be evaluated. It will be explained that it draws zags. Undoubtedly, every event may not be of equal value in social sciences. Giving equal values here is to show that the causes and consequences of the events cannot be determined beforehand and that there may be different unpredictable results.

An Analysis of Bülent Ecevit’s Policies, Decisions, and Attitudes Towards the European Union Membership Process of Türkiye

“…This coalition had a positive impact on the EU's willingness to accept Türkiye's appeal during the Helsinki Summit (Park, 2000: 36;Demirkıran et al, 2010: 39). The harmony and mutual support between the German politician Gerhard Schröder and Bülent Ecevit played a significant role in Türkiye being recognized as a candidate country for the EU (Akçay & Turan, 2020: 1943. During Germany's presidency in the European Council, Schröder took a series of steps in support of Türkiye's EU membership (Aybey, 2004: 30).…”