Türkiye’de Yüksek Öğretim Harcamaları ve Genç İşsizliği İlişkisi Üzerine Bir Analiz

Abstract

Unemployment is a serious global problem. The problem of youth unemployment in particular has been the subject of many scientific studies, and the main causes and possible solutions to this problem have been evaluated and various solutions have been put forward. However, youth unemployment is a complex problem with no single solution. It is affected by many different factors. Moreover, the youth unemployment problem is getting bigger day by day. According to the statistics of the International Labor Organization (2020), the young population (15-24 years of age) increased from 1 billion to 1.3 billion between 1999-2019, but the number of young people participating in employment decreased from 568 million to 497 million. Many studies in different disciplines have been conducted on the main causes, results and possible solutions of the increasing youth unemployment problem. All these studies approach youth unemployment from different angles and offer different solutions to the problem. A complex problem such as youth unemployment is affected by many different factors.This study examines the effects of the variables of real gross domestic product per capita, labor productivity, gross capital formation, and higher education expenditures on youth unemployment-all of which are thought to affect youth unemployment. The study aims to make suggestions about youth unemployment by revealing the effects of these variables on youth unemployment. The study is based on quantitative data analysis and, in particular, time series analysis has been applied. The dataset used in the study was created based on the relevant literature and used the longest possible time interval. In addition, this study differs ABSTRACTThe problem of unemployment-especially among youth-has been the subject of many scientific studies. Scientists have worked on the main causes of youth unemployment and possible solutions for a long time and are still working on it. However, youth unemployment is a complex, global problem that is affected by many factors. Various scientific disciplines have dealt with different perspectives on the main causes, consequences and possible solutions of youth unemployment. The problem is increasing worldwide, and various opinions and suggestions have been put forward.The main objective of this study is to analyze the determinants of youth unemployment in Turkey for the period 1988-2019. The dependent variable of the study is youth unemployment, and the main variable that affects the dependent variable is higher education expenditures. Other control variables used in the study are real gross domestic product per capita, gross capital formation and labor productivity, respectively. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing (ARDL Test) approach, which tests whether there is a short and long-run relationship between the series, was used in the study. The findings obtained from the analysis results indicate that youth unemployment is negatively associated with higher education expenditures and gross capital formation. It is p...