2017
DOI: 10.30586/pek.356929
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Türki̇ye’ni̇n Kredi̇ Notunu Etki̇leyen Faktörleri̇n Mars Yöntemi̇ İle Beli̇rlenmesi̇

Abstract: The main purpose of this study is to identify the macroeconomic factors that influence the credit ratings of Turkey. Within this context, 8 different independent variables are used in this study. To achieve this objective, annual data for the periods between 1992 and 2015 is analyzed by using MARS method. It is concluded that there is a positive relationship between current account balance and credit rating of Turkey. In other words, when the ratio of current account deficit/GDP increases, credit rating of Tur… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(10 citation statements)
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“…Some studies related to the banking industry considered MARS model in their analysis (Oktar and Yüksel, 2016;Yüksel, 2016a;. In addition to them, some macro-economic issues are also evaluated by using this methodology as well (Yüksel, 2016b, Yüksel andÖzsarı, 2017;Zengin et al, 2018;. On the other side, Dinçer et al (2018a,b) also tried to examine some issues in the financial market.…”
Section: Literature On Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Some studies related to the banking industry considered MARS model in their analysis (Oktar and Yüksel, 2016;Yüksel, 2016a;. In addition to them, some macro-economic issues are also evaluated by using this methodology as well (Yüksel, 2016b, Yüksel andÖzsarı, 2017;Zengin et al, 2018;. On the other side, Dinçer et al (2018a,b) also tried to examine some issues in the financial market.…”
Section: Literature On Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…MARS model is a very new approach in the literature. Thus, there are few studies by using this approach in social sciences (Tunay 2001;Yüksel, 2016a;Oktar and Yüksel, 2016;Tunay, 2011;Yüksel and Özsarı, 2017;Kartal et al, 2018;Yüksel, 2016b;Oktar and Yüksel, 2015;Yüksel et al, 2018;Dinçer et al, 2018b;Tunay, 2010;Yüksel and Zengin, 2017;.…”
Section: Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (Mars) Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Nitekim, 1990'lı yıllardaki kredi düşüşlerinin arkasındaki etken unsur oldukça yüksek seyreden enflasyondur (Erim, 2017, s.7). Bir diğer çalışma olan Yüksel ve Özsarı (2017Yüksel ve Özsarı ( ), 1992Yüksel ve Özsarı ( -2015 döneminde Türkiye'nin kredi notunu belirleyen baskın faktörün cari işlemler açığı olduğunu bulmuşlardır. Bu durum, Türkiye'de iktidar değişimlerinin kredi derecesini olumsuz etkilediği ancak etkinin sınırlı olduğu şeklinde yorumlanabilmektedir.…”
Section: Politik Devir Ve Kredibilite İlişkisiunclassified